195 days left

Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$204

17 trades

Smart Whales

2

of 13 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

14 MARKETS · $9.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

4¢+29¢$1541/2

Aaron Sorkin+29¢4¢

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

6¢+19¢$1.5K1/3

Alejandro G. Iñárritu+19¢6¢

Bassam Tariq0¢0¢

Christopher Nolan

65¢−15¢$4.7K7/7

Christopher Nolan−15¢65¢

David O. Russell

David O. Russell—0¢

Denis Villeneuve

20¢+9¢$7162/5

Denis Villeneuve+9¢20¢

Jesse Eisenberg

6¢+27¢$1981/2

Jesse Eisenberg+27¢6¢

Jordan Firstman

0¢+50¢$1481/1

Jordan Firstman+50¢0¢

Lance Oppenheim

3¢−3¢$6630/2

Lance Oppenheim−3¢3¢

Martin McDonagh←

4¢+46¢$2041/1

Martin McDonagh←+46¢4¢

1¢−1¢$2150/1

Olivia Wilde−1¢1¢

7¢−7¢$1480/3

Peter Farrelly−7¢7¢

Phil Lord or Christopher Miller

3¢+30¢$1921/2

Phil Lord or Christopher Miller+30¢3¢

Steven Spielberg

1¢−1¢$2080/1

Steven Spielberg−1¢1¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs1 NO

50%50%

50% of smart money is betting YES on this market

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$1

Avg Win Rate

71.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+79.6%)

Whales

1

Entry 2¢·73.4 shares

+$1INV $1 · WR 71.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$59

Avg Win Rate

71.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$55(+92.8%)

Whales

1

Entry 97¢·59.4 shares

$-0INV $58 · WR 71.7%

Entry 3¢·59.4 shares

+$55INV $2 · WR 71.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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