Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?
YES Price
85¢
85% implied
NO Price
15¢
15% implied
Volume
$10.5K
434 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 122 traders · 1 on both sides
New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs12 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$82+3 new NO$7
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $781 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $757·NO $19YES Team
Total Invested
$761
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$642(+84.3%)
Whales
12
O
oneoftheppl◆Proven🥇
Entry 56¢·769.2 shares
Invested
$431
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$329
+$329INV $431 · WR 63.4%
J
johnashbough◆Proven🥈
Entry 48¢·208.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $100 · WR 55.8%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 48¢·200 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $96 · WR 73.4%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 56¢·150 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $84 · WR 69.8%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 56¢·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $23 · WR 72.8%
D
deepervalue
Entry 92¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 76.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 45¢·7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $3 · WR 69.0%
M
mariacryptosshedged
Entry 51¢·5 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 61.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $1 · WR 87.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 37¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 68.1%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$207
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$147(-71.3%)
Whales
12
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $90 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $40 · WR 88.5%
M
mariacryptoss🥉hedged
Entry 29¢·63.4 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 61.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 44¢·38.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $17 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 55¢·26 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $14 · WR 86.1%
M
msklhedged
Entry 181¢·5 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 64.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 59¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 88.7%
P
PollyForge
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 84.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 28¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 89.0%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 26¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
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