Politics3 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$10.9K
429 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 130 traders
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
10 MARKETS · $45.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$41+6 new NO$217
$44 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $109 is directional: YES $44·NO $65YES Team
Total Invested
$47
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+15.9%)
Whales
5
G
G.Hchen🥇
Entry 30¢·100 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 55.6%
I
irio27🥈
Entry 30¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 61.5%
I
i2dt◆Proven🥉
Entry 12¢·40 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $5 · WR 69.9%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 34¢·10 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 70.0%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 32¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 72.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$163
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+7.6%)
Whales
9
A
arcjuice🥇
Entry 69¢·88.5 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $61 · WR 60.5%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 71¢·80 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $57 · WR 89.1%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $20 · WR 88.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 72.0%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 63¢·10 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 70.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 86.3%
H
hamid1919
Entry 66¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 74.5%
N
newbiejjh
Entry 38¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 70.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 29¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 88.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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