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Politics22 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$3.8K
235 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 69 traders

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $19.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs6 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$261+11 new NO$392
$92 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $39 is directional: YES $39·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$39
Avg Win Rate
78.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+77.4%)
Whales
7
R
RobotBeta🥇
Entry 8¢·200 shares
+$15INV $17 · WR 75.9%
F
Female-TailbudProven🥈
Entry 15¢·34 shares
—INV $5 · WR 56.8%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 9¢·40 shares
+$3INV $4 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 9¢·40 shares
+$3INV $4 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 9¢·40 shares
+$3INV $4 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$3INV $3 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$3INV $3 · WR 85.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: the Republican Party candidate win…