Politics22 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 21% or more?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$755

78 trades

Smart Whales

13

of 37 traders

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $19.3K MATCHED

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs9 NO

31%69%

69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%

+3 new YES$5+4 new NO$126

0 smart whales3 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $27 is directional: YES $27·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$27

Avg Win Rate

78.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$15(-56.2%)

Whales

4

Entry 8¢·200 shares

$-11INV $17 · WR 75.9%

godblessme2026🥈

Entry 9¢·40 shares

$-2INV $4 · WR 88.2%

northdrawer🥉

Entry 8¢·40 shares

$-2INV $3 · WR 87.7%

Entry 3¢·110 shares

+$0INV $3 · WR 75.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$207

Avg Win Rate

84.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$193(+93.6%)

Whales

9

Entry 50¢·95.8 shares

+$45INV $48 · WR 87.7%

qwen4.1.fund🥈

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$37INV $40 · WR 85.9%

graynotebook19🥉

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$37INV $40 · WR 89.3%

Entry 50¢·41.6 shares

+$19INV $21 · WR 79.6%

Entry 50¢·40 shares

+$19INV $20 · WR 72.2%

Mountainous-Inconvenience-Shout

Entry 50¢·27 shares

+$13INV $14 · WR 83.3%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$9INV $10 · WR 85.7%

Spectacular-Ladder-Ant

Entry 50¢·18.7 shares

+$9INV $9 · WR 78.4%

Entry 50¢·10 shares

+$5INV $5 · WR 79.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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