GeopoliticsResolved
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$93.2K
452 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 213 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?
2 MARKETS · $93.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs34 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $516 is directional: YES $15·NO $501YES Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.7K(-100.0%)
Whales
6
C
Car🥇hedged
Entry 95¢·2,285.6 shares·also $163 on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-2160
$-2160INV $2.2K · WR 64.9%
R
Relaccsed🥈
Entry 50¢·1,026.6 shares
Invested
$513
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-513
$-513INV $513 · WR 56.7%
M
mad4x🥉
Entry 7¢·145 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 57.0%
R
romanew-3-15
Entry 7¢·51.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 71.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 11¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 5 of 6
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.6K
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.5K(+109.2%)
Whales
34
K
k00pa🥇
Entry 81¢·4,803.2 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$927
+$927INV $3.9K · WR 72.0%
B
Blakeley🥈
Entry 92¢·990 shares
Invested
$911
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $911 · WR 63.6%
B
Blenkinsop🥉
Entry 93¢·960 shares
Invested
$888
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $888 · WR 61.5%
B
Blissett
Entry 92¢·960 shares
Invested
$883
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $883 · WR 69.2%
D
Dodgson
Entry 92¢·920 shares
Invested
$846
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $846 · WR 58.3%
D
Doddx
Entry 92¢·920 shares
Invested
$846
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $846 · WR 56.0%
N
Norgrave
Entry 96¢·858 shares
Invested
$822
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $822 · WR 84.6%
A
AztecaBull
Entry 97¢·206.2 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $200 · WR 88.7%
C
Carhedged
Entry 7¢·2,285.6 shares·also $2.2K on YES
Invested
$163
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$2122
+$2122INV $163 · WR 64.9%
E
enaich
Entry 100¢·150 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $149 · WR 73.0%
Showing top 10 of 34
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