YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$15.4K
1,106 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 294 traders · 1 on both sides
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
2 MARKETS · $16.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs54 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$18 of $496 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $200·NO $278YES Team
Total Invested
$983
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$849(-86.4%)
Whales
27
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·422.9 shares·also $343 on NO
Invested
$364
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $364 · WR 55.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 69¢·291.6 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-201
$-201INV $201 · WR 57.7%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 55¢·153 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $84 · WR 75.8%
M
ms1910
Entry 26¢·270.9 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $71 · WR 57.9%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 29¢·200 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $59 · WR 56.8%
W
wert4
Entry 53¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $26 · WR 65.1%
D
0xdc1d02f6...
Entry 52¢·19.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 57.6%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 20¢·47.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 72.9%
L
l1v3hedged
Entry 15¢·59.3 shares·also $65 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 57.6%
7
0x7e1456f6...
Entry 62¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+75.3%)
Whales
54
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 73¢·468.1 shares·also $364 on YES
Invested
$343
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $343 · WR 55.3%
W
Wonderful-Disgust🥈
Entry 43¢·566.9 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$325
+$325INV $242 · WR 73.4%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 45¢·416.3 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $188 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 49¢·367.7 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$186
+$186INV $181 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 42¢·400 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$234
+$234INV $166 · WR 86.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 45¢·287 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $128 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 60¢·203 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $121 · WR 89.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 44¢·258 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $113 · WR 88.7%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 74¢·138.1 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $102 · WR 59.4%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 50¢·194 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $97 · WR 83.8%
Showing top 10 of 54
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1616ms