YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$36.7K
1,057 trades
Smart Whales
43
of 227 traders
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?
2 MARKETS · $45.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs29 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.0K is directional: YES $63·NO $2.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-99.8%)
Whales
14
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 385¢·219.6 shares·also $579 on NO
Invested
$844
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-844
$-844INV $844 · WR 55.6%
V
Vagabund97🥈
Entry 53¢·1,575.1 shares
Invested
$833
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-833
$-833INV $833 · WR 66.4%
P
PippiTrader◆Proven🥉
Entry 70¢·455 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-319
$-319INV $319 · WR 62.3%
R
Respectful-Worshiperhedged
Entry 49¢·156.8 shares·also $83 on NO
Invested
$77
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $77 · WR 70.6%
S
Suburban-Ecliptic◆Proven
Entry 42¢·133.3 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $56 · WR 55.2%
S
Strange-Minor-Millstonehedged
Entry 95¢·46.9 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $44 · WR 72.2%
Z
ZalphaAIhedged
Entry 44¢·99.3 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $44 · WR 64.1%
9
0x95b993d2...
Entry 45¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 55.9%
5
0x5190869f...
Entry 46¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 67.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 5¢·44 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$912(+25.0%)
Whales
29
U
Untimely-Kiwi🥇
Entry 95¢·1,348.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
96.8%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $1.3K · WR 96.8%
G
GabiFP◆Proven🥈
Entry 60¢·1,079.7 shares
Invested
$644
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$435
+$435INV $644 · WR 80.4%
T
thanksforplayin🥉hedged
Entry 123¢·469.3 shares·also $844 on YES
Invested
$579
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $579 · WR 55.6%
B
botparadise
Entry 93¢·361.9 shares
Invested
$338
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $338 · WR 89.3%
W
west77
Entry 47¢·500.8 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$264
+$264INV $237 · WR 71.9%
F
Frieren68
Entry 92¢·153.4 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $140 · WR 79.3%
F
Frail-Item
Entry 100¢·100 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $100 · WR 76.4%
R
Respectful-Worshiperhedged
Entry 53¢·156.7 shares·also $77 on YES
Invested
$83
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $83 · WR 70.6%
2
0x2d7544d2...
Entry 88¢·51.8 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $45 · WR 83.9%
T
Tsubasa
Entry 72¢·60 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $43 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 29
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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