85 days left

Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$34.9K
1,267 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 185 traders

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

22 MARKETS · $880.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

26 YESvs34 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$65+6 new NO$309
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $584·NO $700

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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