Politics23 days left
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$24.4K
804 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 204 traders · 1 on both sides
2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner
6 MARKETS · $32.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs12 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $4.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.5K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$347(+7.7%)
Whales
10
N
nicoco89🥇
Entry 88¢·4,049.5 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$320
+$320INV $3.6K · WR 62.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥈
Entry 96¢·513.8 shares
Invested
$492
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $492 · WR 68.2%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER🥉
Entry 95¢·300 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $284 · WR 67.0%
S
sweetj
Entry 95¢·148 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $140 · WR 75.0%
3
0x32eba5c6...hedged
Entry 97¢·20.4 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 57.4%
R
rretetrhedged
Entry 86¢·20 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 60.0%
R
realsatoshinakamoto
Entry 86¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 81.6%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 96¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 55.4%
A
0xa2fcb304...
Entry 97¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.7%
T
TenPinBowler
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1 · WR 88.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$338
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$257(-75.9%)
Whales
12
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 19¢·553.1 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $106 · WR 87.7%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian🥈
Entry 45¢·227.5 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $102 · WR 59.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 13¢·505.3 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $64 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 4¢·467.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 72.2%
D
0xd7e3da53...
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 19¢·75 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 89.3%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 19¢·42 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 85.8%
R
rretetrhedged
Entry 13¢·20 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 60.0%
T
Thesickest
Entry 2¢·110 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 78.4%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 7¢·19.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.2%
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