GeopoliticsResolved
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$25.4K
398 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 148 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?
2 MARKETS · $111.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs22 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $497 is directional: YES $53·NO $444YES Team
Total Invested
$720
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$720(-100.0%)
Whales
9
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·355.2 shares·also $487 on NO
Invested
$329
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-329
$-329INV $329 · WR 65.8%
P
Porx🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·346.2 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$325
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-325
$-325INV $325 · WR 65.9%
T
tinman2🥉
Entry 48¢·100 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $48 · WR 65.9%
S
Saber-greed
Entry 27¢·37.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 60.0%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 6¢·81 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 64.4%
E
Extroverted-Development
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.7%
I
Ideal-Arch
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 91.1%
M
Marco-Rubio
Entry 21¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 62.6%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 8¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.7K(+61.0%)
Whales
22
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥇
Entry 72¢·3,742.8 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$1042
+$1042INV $2.7K · WR 90.9%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 43¢·1,131.2 shares·also $329 on YES
Invested
$487
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$644
+$644INV $487 · WR 65.8%
C
Chims◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·914.2 shares
Invested
$457
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$457
+$457INV $457 · WR 85.2%
L
LJa7io23MCv954j
Entry 94¢·456.7 shares
Invested
$429
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $429 · WR 70.0%
W
WillBeQuant
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 65.6%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 99¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 59.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 99¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 59.4%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 99¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 59.6%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 99¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 56.6%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 99¢·33.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $33 · WR 59.6%
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