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Geopolitics89 days left

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

View on Polymarket
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$528.5K
4,615 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 543 traders

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

3 MARKETS · $538.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

35 YESvs42 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars · 28 YES vs 34 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$523+6 new NO$848
$219 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16.2K is directional: YES $5.3K·NO $10.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$15.4K
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$12.3K(-79.8%)
Whales
35
S
Sticky-Closing🥇
Entry 222¢·4,445.9 shares
$-9557INV $9.9K · WR 62.5%
M
Marco-Rubio🥈
Entry 34¢·4,509 shares
$-1162INV $1.5K · WR 62.8%
G
grothProven🥉
Entry 16¢·8,566 shares
$-639INV $1.4K · WR 66.4%
P
Pulser
Entry 11¢·10,656.7 shares
$-244INV $1.1K · WR 57.2%
E
endangered.species
Entry 25¢·2,000 shares
$-330INV $500 · WR 83.3%
R
RememberAmalekProven
Entry 17¢·1,200 shares
$-107INV $209 · WR 64.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 21¢·485.4 shares
$-60INV $101 · WR 68.6%
B
BigDiddyy
Entry 33¢·303 shares
$-74INV $100 · WR 63.9%
G
Gl4d
Entry 12¢·500 shares
$-18INV $60 · WR 61.6%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 10¢·500 shares
$-8INV $50 · WR 71.7%
Showing top 10 of 35

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: Israeli forces withdraw from beyond…