453 days left
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
YES Price
85¢
85% implied
NO Price
15¢
15% implied
Volume
$254.5K
3,053 trades
Smart Whales
111
of 571 traders
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
7 MARKETS · $498.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
49 YESvs62 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 26 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 88%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$827+6 new NO$153
$92 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $25.7K is directional: YES $22.8K·NO $2.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$28.6K
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$15.4K(+54.0%)
Whales
49
N
nelbal8486🥇
Entry 65¢·7,079.2 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$1427
+$1427INV $4.6K · WR 63.5%
M
Meek-Drummer🥈
Entry 69¢·6,286.7 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$1041
+$1041INV $4.3K · WR 77.3%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥉
Entry 83¢·4,893.1 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $4.1K · WR 66.7%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 50¢·7,453.8 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$2633
+$2633INV $3.7K · WR 56.1%
A
Ahpo
Entry 29¢·7,272.9 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$4052
+$4052INV $2.1K · WR 92.2%
J
JT716
Entry 84¢·2,500 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $2.1K · WR 65.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 55¢·2,183.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$662
+$662INV $1.2K · WR 72.2%
O
Optimus-◆Proven
Entry 68¢·1,765.3 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$300
+$300INV $1.2K · WR 61.9%
J
JanusApprenticehedged
Entry 25¢·2,864 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$703
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$1732
+$1732INV $703 · WR 61.0%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 74¢·919.5 shares
Invested
$680
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $680 · WR 69.4%
Showing top 10 of 49
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.6K
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.8K(-57.1%)
Whales
62
T
TruongMyLan🥇hedged
Entry 145¢·2,764 shares·also $545 on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-3604
$-3604INV $4.0K · WR 59.2%
A
AllByMyseIf🥈
Entry 18¢·13,527.1 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-427
$-427INV $2.4K · WR 71.0%
J
JanusApprentice🥉hedged
Entry 83¢·2,864 shares·also $703 on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1953
$-1953INV $2.4K · WR 61.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·1,608.9 shares
Invested
$810
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-568
$-568INV $810 · WR 69.0%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 61¢·867 shares
Invested
$525
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-395
$-395INV $525 · WR 85.8%
A
Anon321321
Entry 48¢·737 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-240
$-240INV $351 · WR 86.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 40¢·683 shares
Invested
$275
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-173
$-173INV $275 · WR 85.9%
V
Valid-Standard
Entry 49¢·500 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-173
$-173INV $245 · WR 70.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 37¢·541.7 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $203 · WR 79.3%
C
chthollyseniorious
Entry 86¢·133.6 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $115 · WR 70.9%
Showing top 10 of 62
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