Politics13 days left
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$34.0K
1,333 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 249 traders · 1 on both sides
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
17 MARKETS · $468.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs40 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $529 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $262·NO $266YES Team
Total Invested
$613
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$65(-10.6%)
Whales
12
Q
QMG-CORE🥇
Entry 3¢·6,000 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $200 · WR 80.9%
C
Chegildek🥈hedged
Entry 21¢·484.3 shares·also $422 on NO
Invested
$102
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $102 · WR 59.4%
R
Rr55🥉
Entry 20¢·230 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $47 · WR 73.8%
M
macrosteaks
Entry 5¢·186.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 60.0%
P
prov123
Entry 12¢·60.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 60.3%
S
Spectrum
Entry 6¢·95 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 60.9%
C
Complicated-Shoes
Entry 16¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.1%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 18¢·0.6 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 8 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.8K(+113.9%)
Whales
40
I
InterestingUser🥇
Entry 50¢·2,301.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$1054
+$1054INV $1.1K · WR 64.3%
C
Chegildek🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·499.4 shares·also $102 on YES
Invested
$422
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $422 · WR 59.4%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 22¢·1,706 shares
Invested
$372
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1260
+$1260INV $372 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 64¢·502 shares
Invested
$321
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $321 · WR 71.9%
H
highstakebet
Entry 54¢·391.5 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $212 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 72¢·272.9 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $196 · WR 88.7%
B
Binotto
Entry 18¢·1,005.9 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$779
+$779INV $184 · WR 65.2%
S
Serpentine-Majority
Entry 29¢·567.3 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$375
+$375INV $167 · WR 77.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 97¢·110 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $106 · WR 89.4%
X
xcaiox
Entry 95¢·105.6 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $100 · WR 75.7%
Showing top 10 of 40
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