Geopolitics90 days left

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

YES Price
5ยข
5% implied
NO Price
95ยข
95% implied
Volume
$121.6K
890 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 349 traders

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs41 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars ยท 7 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$1+4 new NO$59
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $5.2K is directional: YES $36ยทNO $5.1K

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Smart money 21% YES: Russia test a nuclear weaponโ€ฆ