Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$66.0K
1,310 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 263 traders
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $67.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026←
0¢+10¢$66.0K5/45by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026←+10¢0¢
$66.0K5/45
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
28¢−28¢$2440/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−28¢28¢
$2440/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
42¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—42¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs45 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$36
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-80.7%)
Whales
5
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven🥇
Entry 14¢·165.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 56.3%
I
itsjustcheddar🥈
Entry 4¢·130 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 80.8%
P
Pure-Basketball🥉
Entry 1¢·100 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 58.1%
Showing top 3 of 5
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.0K
Avg Win Rate
82.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+9.8%)
Whales
45
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 95¢·5,743 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$302
+$302INV $5.4K · WR 85.8%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 99¢·1,619.5 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $1.6K · WR 69.2%
R
russell110320🥉
Entry 78¢·1,306.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$284
+$284INV $1.0K · WR 67.5%
I
i18z
Entry 100¢·936.8 shares
Invested
$935
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $935 · WR 87.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 98¢·542 shares
Invested
$530
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $530 · WR 87.7%
P
products
Entry 90¢·550 shares
Invested
$492
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $492 · WR 86.6%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 60¢·795.3 shares
Invested
$476
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$319
+$319INV $476 · WR 86.7%
R
rated
Entry 95¢·450.5 shares
Invested
$427
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $427 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77
Entry 99¢·249 shares
Invested
$247
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $247 · WR 85.2%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 99¢·221.8 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $219 · WR 83.8%
Showing top 10 of 45
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