Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$79.8K
1,337 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 252 traders
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $81.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026←
0¢+14¢$79.8K8/49by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026←+14¢0¢
$79.8K8/49
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
28¢−28¢$2440/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−28¢28¢
$2440/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
42¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—42¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs49 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$287
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$266(-92.7%)
Whales
8
R
Rr55◆Proven🥇
Entry 17¢·1,374.1 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-239
$-239INV $239 · WR 73.2%
I
itsjustcheddar🥈
Entry 13¢·130 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 80.8%
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven🥉
Entry 1¢·1,078.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 70.2%
Showing top 3 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.5K
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.8K(+21.9%)
Whales
49
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 82¢·6,548 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1186
+$1186INV $5.4K · WR 85.8%
R
russell110320🥈
Entry 84¢·6,115.7 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$958
+$958INV $5.2K · WR 67.5%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 91¢·1,638.5 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $1.5K · WR 69.2%
P
polpolmeow
Entry 98¢·921.7 shares
Invested
$903
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $903 · WR 88.0%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 64¢·792.2 shares
Invested
$505
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$288
+$288INV $505 · WR 56.3%
I
i18z
Entry 97¢·514.5 shares
Invested
$499
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $499 · WR 87.1%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 58¢·795.2 shares
Invested
$458
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$338
+$338INV $458 · WR 86.7%
P
products
Entry 78¢·546.4 shares
Invested
$425
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $425 · WR 86.6%
R
rated
Entry 84¢·451.8 shares
Invested
$379
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $379 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 77¢·484 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $373 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 49
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