Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$18.9K
1,835 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 333 traders
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $20.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026←
0¢+6¢$18.9K4/63by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026←+6¢0¢
$18.9K4/63
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs63 NO
94%
94% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$283
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$274(-96.8%)
Whales
4
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+15.0%)
Whales
63
R
russell110320🥇
Entry 90¢·5,669.6 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$583
+$583INV $5.1K · WR 67.5%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 89¢·3,779.5 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$401
+$401INV $3.4K · WR 85.8%
O
OmaJane🥉
Entry 97¢·674.8 shares
Invested
$653
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $653 · WR 90.2%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 85¢·640 shares
Invested
$544
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $544 · WR 73.2%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 83¢·622.3 shares
Invested
$519
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $519 · WR 86.7%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 97¢·417 shares
Invested
$405
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $405 · WR 90.9%
R
Roro22◆Proven
Entry 93¢·341.1 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $319 · WR 74.9%
P
products
Entry 88¢·353.6 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $312 · WR 86.6%
R
rated
Entry 78¢·375 shares
Invested
$291
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $291 · WR 87.7%
V
Varyag
Entry 93¢·200 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $186 · WR 69.0%
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