YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$1.2K
79 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 48 traders
2nd richest person on December 31?
5 MARKETS · $33.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31
12¢0¢$1.1K2/15Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 310¢12¢
$1.1K2/15
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31
3¢+3¢$1.2K1/15Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31+3¢3¢
$1.2K1/15
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31
28¢−12¢$21.9K3/16Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31−12¢28¢
$21.9K3/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+1600.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$165
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$53(+31.9%)
Whales
11
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $40 · WR 79.7%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 100¢·35 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $35 · WR 88.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 100¢·31 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $31 · WR 79.2%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 100¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 87.4%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·12 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 80.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·11 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $11 · WR 71.9%
I
Infatuated-Convenience
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 84.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 87.9%
P
paspor
Entry 4¢·114 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $4 · WR 85.6%
K
korda77
Entry 0¢·13.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 11
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