Economics55 days left
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$1.1K
88 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 48 traders
2nd richest person on December 31?
4 MARKETS · $32.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31←
12¢0¢$1.1K2/15Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31←0¢12¢
$1.1K2/15
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31
3¢+3¢$1.2K1/15Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31+3¢3¢
$1.2K1/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs15 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $6·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$45(+760.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$176
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$191(+108.2%)
Whales
15
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $40 · WR 79.7%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $30 · WR 87.5%
K
korda77🥉
Entry 95¢·13.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 84.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·12 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 80.1%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 95¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 87.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·11 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 71.9%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 7¢·136.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $10 · WR 81.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 87.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 86.1%
I
Infatuated-Convenience
Entry 95¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 84.8%
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