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LoLDemacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · JD Gaming

Shopify Rebellion0-2JD Gaming

Demacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage· Oct 5, 2026 · 10:40–11:56 UTC· 1h 16m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.3M
Trades
4,227
Significant
77 ≥ $6,604
Low · high
0.1¢ → 15¢
Price path · full matchYES = Shopify Rebellion · 1-min VWAP · rings = 5 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢G1 · JD GamingG1G2 · JD GamingG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:52$86.0K NO · Lakersfan111$9.5K NO · Favorable-Pepper-Brushing$6.6K NO · 3648393489047$6.3K NO · duratio10$5.2K NO · meoooowSMART99%99% JD Gaming10:4011:56 resolved
smart consensus leaned JDG from G1 at 88¢ · 99% → 99%
G1JD Gaming13¢ → 5¢$167.3K
G2JD Gaming5¢ → 0.1¢$178.6K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN14¢ · $17.7K ask wall gone instantly$9.5K eaten · $8.2K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Leja+3 more on the same level· 54% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $9.5K· 7 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst JD Gaming buy ≥ $1K · by time14 wallets
1antec0x8935…7daaretail+$34
$3.9K at 92¢· pre-match · 10h 33m before· win rate 50.4%
2no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864retail+$91
$2.1K at 84¢· pre-match · 4h 36m before· win rate 47.7%
3VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart+$93
$1.5K at 82¢· pre-match · 4h 36m before· win rate 58.1%
4StudyPrediction0x33bc…37dcsmart+$340
$1.7K at 83¢· pre-match · 4h 36m before· win rate 69.3%
5Leja0x8144…266cretail+$600
$5.2K at 86¢· pre-match · 3m before· win rate 49.3%
6spreadcorearb0x898b…6c00retail+$429
$2.6K at 86¢· pre-match · 3m before· win rate 55.0%
7pan3320x73f6…a10aretail+$274
$1.7K at 86¢· pre-match · 3m before· win rate 52.2%
8Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563whale+$14.0K
$86.0K at 86¢· pre-match · 3m before· win rate 54.6%
9Dear-Vacation0x1bae…ae9fretail+$153
$1.5K at 91¢· G1 · 08:53· win rate 71.3%
10yishiwucheng0x3308…f04bwhale+$286
$10.2K at 97¢· G1 · 10:06· win rate 51.7%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 166 wallets
Top winners
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563whale+$14.0K
Leja0x8144…266cretail+$600
spreadcorearb0x898b…6c00retail+$429
7ViziCapitale0xa19d…3909smart+$403
StudyPrediction0x33bc…37dcsmart+$340
Top losers
bit7540x6d1e…2c7eretail−$1.0K
Divinev0xfd14…2267retail−$918
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$900
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$207
mamamiyaXD0xdb0d…1d6dretail−$161
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, duratio10, MeiGuNiuBi, suntori +4
Smart consensus · at resolution101 wallets
99%NO JD Gaming · the winner· from 99% at match start
YES capital
$40.1K
NO capital
$385.9K
Hedged
$41.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 77 TRADES ≥ $6,604 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$86.0K
sell NO86¢series10:37:17whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$1.01M
rookie7650xf1c9…363f$10.1K
NO87¢map 211:29:47smart
win rate 69.1%lifetime +$23.5K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882$9.5K
NO88¢series10:35:05hedgerwhale
win rate 41.9%lifetime −$3.66M
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882$9.5K
NO88¢series10:30:54hedgerwhale
win rate 41.9%lifetime −$3.66M
hurrican0x8718…5040$8.5K
NO88¢map 211:18:59retail
win rate 70.6%lifetime −$255.9K
Gumayusi980x5bc6…eff4$8.0K
NO86¢map 211:17:37retail
win rate 74.2%lifetime −$99.2K
fkigedgjdgwbg0x52ec…a6f3$7.5K
sell NO88¢map 110:50:43smartwhale
win rate 59.5%lifetime +$483.3K
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$6.7K
sell NO86¢map 211:35:35whale
win rate 54.6%lifetime +$5.14M
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Match markets38 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage0¢ / 100¢$529.2Kclosedmap 1LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$296.0Kclosedmap 2LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$368.2Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$5.0Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$138.7Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$853closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$789closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$600closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$1.9Kclosedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$35closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?1¢ / 100¢$0closedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 2Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 3Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?47¢ / 53¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$56closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?26¢ / 75¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?1¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?26¢ / 75¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?51¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?52¢ / 48¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Shopify Rebellion 0-2 JD Gaming · Demacia Cup Global Invitational · match recap | OrcaLayer