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LoLDemacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

Natus Vincere2-0FlyQuest

Demacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage· Oct 5, 2026 · 09:00–10:26 UTC· 1h 26m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.4M
Trades
13,579
Significant
112 ≥ $2,310
Low · high
29¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Natus Vincere · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · Natus VincereG229¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 10:21$7.8K NO · zhutianwei1$4.2K NO · 7ViziCapitale$3.5K YES · wofoleSMART94%83% Natus Vincere09:0010:26 resolved
smart consensus leaned NAVI from G1 at 60¢ · 84% → 83%
G1Natus Vincere60¢ → 79¢$530.1K
G2Natus Vincere79¢ → 99.9¢$613.4K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first14
WALL EATEN58¢ · $38.5K bid wall gone in 83s$15.2K eaten · $11.9K pulled · $11.3K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x4468…b165+9 more on the same level· 77% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· yishiwucheng $5.8K· 7ViziCapitale $5.8K· deron $2.9K· +7 more· 21 fills
WALL EATEN59¢ · $29.5K ask wall gone instantly$16.3K eaten · $13.2K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:TAIWANNUMBERONEwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $16.3K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN56¢ · $29.2K bid wall gone in 3s$27.9K eatenmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0x6346…2e24· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Substantial-Service $24.7K· dxionseansei $1.1K· Shiny-Pheasant $1.1K· +5 more· 17 fills
WALL EATEN58¢ · $29.1K bid wall gone in 7s$25.6K eaten · $3.5K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0x6346…2e24· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· ipop00 $22.8K· johnbaster $1.2K· ocss $1.0K· +12 more· 15 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $27.0K bid wall gone in 6s$22.8K eaten · $4.2K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0x6346…2e24· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Substantial-Service $22.0K· +11 more· 13 fills
WALL EATEN57¢ · $17.7K bid wall gone in 28s$11.9K eaten · $5.7K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:xiaoduoxiaoduo+5 more on the same level· 42% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 3648393489047 $5.3K· PDWA $2.5K· aomendushen008 $1.0K· +22 more· 42 fills
Who entered before the reversalNatus Vincere last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 41:19 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L14 wallets
1213721370xb877…4601retail+$1.8K
$2.5K at 47¢· G1 · 23:40· win rate 51.0%
2ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$841
$2.2K at 63¢· G1 · 23:58· win rate 47.5%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail+$481
$6.0K at 62¢· G1 · 25:55· win rate 50.4%
4poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$475
$586 at 51¢· G1 · 24:01· win rate 47.5%
5littlebay0x377d…1825smart+$245
$614 at 71¢· G1 · 39:48· win rate 68.0%
6topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$161
$302 at 55¢· G1 · 23:40· win rate 40.2%
7Godoubleu0xa24e…1be8retail+$99
$129 at 54¢· G1 · 23:40· win rate 46.7%
8Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$95
$1.6K at 63¢· G1 · 23:40· win rate 59.6%
965656565650x6db8…b4c1smart+$60
$120 at 32¢· G1 · 23:40· win rate 64.5%
101x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9retail+$1
$423 at 65¢· G1 · 27:40· win rate 11.5%
Reversal = last time Natus Vincere traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 41:19). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 224 wallets
Top winners
Grand-Access0x4468…b165smart+$10.5K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$3.8K
Nooserac0xf68a…5b1bwhale+$2.1K
213721370xb877…4601retail+$1.8K
Leja0x8144…266cretail+$1.3K
Top losers
BBQChickenisthebesttt0x1660…5598retail−$7.4K
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864retail−$1.0K
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$900
pan3320x73f6…a10aretail−$804
okanekaeru0xce08…510bretail−$420
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): yishiwucheng, suntori, vtcchampion52, ameisgoat11 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution115 wallets
83%YES Natus Vincere · the winner· from 84% at match start
YES capital
$196.3K
NO capital
$129.3K
Hedged
$39.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 112 TRADES ≥ $2,310 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$24.7K
sell YES56¢map 210:01:21whale
win rate 54.6%lifetime +$5.14M
ipop000x8fbb…9a17$22.8K
sell YES58¢map 210:01:15retail
win rate 52.3%lifetime −$1.02M
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$22.0K
sell YES54¢map 210:01:30whale
win rate 54.6%lifetime +$5.14M
0x6346…2e24$10.1K
YES58¢map 108:48:45whale
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$8.7K
YES58¢map 209:50:27smartwhale
win rate 58.7%lifetime +$1.17M
brettfavre4440x3f97…4059$8.7K
sell YES58¢map 209:50:27retail
win rate 67.6%lifetime +$26.0K
36483934890470x67ac…edf1$8.4K
YES57¢map 209:28:21smartwhale
win rate 65.4%lifetime +$445.5K
THEHIGHLIFE0x8c0b…7aa5$8.3K
sell NO55¢map 108:52:21smart
win rate 55.4%lifetime +$1.81M
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Match markets38 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage100¢ / 0¢$431.7Kclosedmap 1LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$1.1Mclosedmap 2LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$1.2Mclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$9.2Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$521closedseries handicapGame Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$25.6Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$133closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$5.1Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$933closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$2closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$221closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?34¢ / 67¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 2Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 3Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closed