LoLDemacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · JD Gaming

Natus Vincere1-2JD Gaming

Demacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage· Oct 8, 2026 · 11:00–13:22 UTC· 2h 22m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$3.0M
Trades
16,249
Significant
132 ≥ $2,242
Low · high
0.1¢ → 61¢
Price path · full matchYES = Natus Vincere · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · JD GamingG2G3 · JD GamingG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 13:09$9.4K YES · Uniform123$9.1K YES · Harmless-Fatigues$9.0K NO · HMLSF$8.4K YES · Sunshine.Smile$8.3K NO · 3648393489047$8.0K NO · SineNooneEISMART95%78% JD Gaming11:0013:22 resolved
smart consensus leaned JDG from G1 at 73¢ · 95% → 78%
G1Natus Vincere28¢ → 57¢$477.8K
G2JD Gaming57¢ → 34¢$328.0K
G3JD Gaming34¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first5
WALL EATEN27¢ · $41.8K ask wall gone instantly$39.4K eaten · $2.4K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Nooseracwhale+4 more on the same level· 51% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Eztennis $39.4K· 6 fills
WALL EATEN56¢ · $12.4K bid wall gone instantly$8.4K eaten · $4.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:gigigigigic+1 more on the same level· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· HMLSF $8.4K· 3 fills
WALL EATEN45¢ · $11.6K bid wall gone instantly$4.1K eaten · $7.4K pulledhandicap
Maker revealed by fills:TAIWANNUMBERONEwhale+1 more on the same level· 97% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· BrotherObama $4.1K· +1 more· 4 fills
WALL EATEN95¢ · $11.6K ask wall gone instantly$4.8K eaten · $6.8K pulledmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:uerri6+3 more on the same level· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· skded $4.3K· ngurahhendri $452· 5 fills
WALL EATEN35¢ · $11.1K ask wall gone in 22s$5.8K eaten · $5.1K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:lzh1hedger+5 more on the same level· 56% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Harmless-Fatigues $5.8K· +2 more· 9 fills
Who entered before the reversalJD Gaming last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 25:22 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L9 wallets
1213721370xb877…4601retail+$937
$4.8K at 55¢· G2 · 24:00· win rate 51.1%
2bigbulldog3320x38d0…f30fretail+$501
$325 at 39¢· G2 · 20:59· win rate 44.7%
3Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$118
$5.6K at 63¢· G2 · 21:43· win rate 59.5%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$29
$4.9K at 70¢· G2 · 20:30· win rate 33.4%
5Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$3
$344 at 56¢· G2 · 21:43· win rate 52.6%
6BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$1
$851 at 61¢· G2 · 21:43· win rate 65.3%
717accountant0x4dec…de48retail−$2
$400 at 66¢· G2 · 21:43· win rate 83.3%
8antec0x8935…7daaretail−$176
$5.4K at 56¢· G2 · 23:30· win rate 50.4%
9ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$1.4K
$631 at 62¢· G2 · 23:10· win rate 47.4%
Reversal = last time JD Gaming traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 25:22). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 408 wallets
Top winners
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aebwhale+$81.0K
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffdwhale+$34.6K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$11.5K
Nooserac0xf68a…5b1bwhale+$7.4K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail+$7.3K
Top losers
gigigigigic0xd501…b86eretail−$8.4K
THEHIGHLIFE0x8c0b…7aa5smart−$5.8K
maxoveral000x5f0e…7397retail−$3.0K
clown2210x9c3e…2235retail−$2.5K
Leja0x8144…266cretail−$1.8K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): PT-S2, vtcchampion52, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, ameisgoat11 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution358 wallets
78%NO JD Gaming · the winner· from 95% at match start
YES capital
$431.4K
NO capital
$943.0K
Hedged
$170.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 132 TRADES ≥ $2,242 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70$37.0K
YES27¢series10:33:08whale
win rate 50.0%lifetime −$741.8K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61$14.2K
NO71¢map 110:53:45smart
win rate 60.0%lifetime +$373.5K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$12.3K
NO64¢map 212:02:25smartwhale
win rate 58.7%lifetime +$1.16M
Bustling-Deadline-Section0xfe1a…a67f$10.2K
NO67¢map 212:15:03retail
win rate 52.2%lifetime −$24.7K
suntori0xe907…cff6$9.5K
YES47¢handicap10:52:08whale
win rate 41.3%lifetime −$7.49M
Uniform1230xe548…a9fe$9.4K
YES58¢series11:59:39retail
win rate 49.1%lifetime +$26.2K
Harmless-Fatigues0xe2d0…7bbf$9.1K
YES35¢series12:42:42retail
win rate 43.5%lifetime −$73.2K
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998$9.0K
NO53¢handicap10:34:06whale
win rate 40.8%lifetime +$714.5K
Match markets36 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage0¢ / 100¢$1.4Mclosedmap 1LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$867.4Kclosedmap 2LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$618.6Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$7.7Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$132closedseries handicapGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$143.0Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 1¢$727closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$653closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$149closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?— / —$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?1¢ / 100¢$271closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?1¢ / 100¢$207closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$182closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?100¢ / 1¢$10closedmap odd even 2Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 3Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?100¢ / 1¢$405closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?53¢ / 48¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
Natus Vincere 1-2 JD Gaming · Demacia Cup Global Invitational · match recap | OrcaLayer