LoLDemacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Shopify Rebellion
GAM Esports0-2Shopify Rebellion
Volume
$2.6M
Trades
10,342
Significant
112 ≥ $3,112
Low · high
0.1¢ → 35¢
Price path · full matchYES = GAM Esports · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus leaned SR from G1 at 71¢ · 97% → 97%
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1Shopify Rebellion30¢ → 9¢$281.9K
G1Shopify Rebellion32m 32s · 08:32–09:0430¢ → 9¢ −21¢$281.9K2,85344
G2Shopify Rebellion9¢ → 0.1¢$428.7K
G2Shopify Rebellion56m 26s · 09:04–10:019¢ → 0.1¢ −9¢$428.7K4,81447
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN40¢ · $10.5K bid wall gone instantly$5.4K eaten · $4.6K pulledseries
Earliest big buyersfirst Shopify Rebellion buy ≥ $1K · by time35 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$1.9K at 84¢· pre-match · 1d 16h before· win rate 33.1%
$1.3K at 64¢· pre-match · 1d 14h before· win rate 51.0%
$2.9K at 57¢· pre-match · 18h 29m before· win rate 42.1%
$1.5K at 58¢· pre-match · 18h 29m before· win rate 68.4%
$1.0K at 63¢· pre-match · 17h 11m before· win rate 43.9%
$3.3K at 70¢· pre-match · 10h 42m before· win rate 50.5%
$2.8K at 58¢· pre-match · 9h 37m before· win rate 47.5%
$34.2K at 57¢· pre-match · 9h 37m before· win rate 55.5%
$11.6K at 58¢· pre-match · 9h 27m before· win rate unknown
$2.0K at 57¢· pre-match · 9h 27m before· win rate 54.5%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 311 wallets
Top winners
ScroooogeMcDuck0xc350…3669smartwhale+$131.9K
THEHIGHLIFE0x8c0b…7aa5smart+$25.8K
Nooserac0xf68a…5b1bwhale+$13.3K
LlamaEnjoyer0x9b97…5e12whalefarmer+$8.7K
0x84ec…72c1retail+$8.4K
Top losers
Grand-Access0x4468…b165smart−$6.9K
drunkdegenerate0xf184…c2d7retail−$5.8K
coolz1220xbdd2…6657retail−$2.8K
lzh10x282f…7c4eretail−$2.6K
ARI100KRAT0x55d9…832cretail−$1.6K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): 0x18e6…3377, teardropsaidmyname, duratio10, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing +4
Smart consensus · at resolution164 wallets
97%NO Shopify Rebellion · the winner· from 97% at match start
YES capital
$346.7K
NO capital
$648.8K
Hedged
$286.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 112 TRADES ≥ $3,112 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
36483934890470x67ac…edf1$13.8K
sell NO92¢map 209:52:26hedgersmartwhale
win rate 65.7%lifetime +$696.1K
More from this tournamentDemacia Cup Global Invitational 2026 Group Stage →
Match markets42 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage0¢ / 100¢$1.3Mclosedmap 1LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$630.0Kclosedmap 2LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$886.8Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$2.1Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$61.6Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$1.1Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$85closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$871closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$72closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 1¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?1¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?1¢ / 100¢$0closedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 2Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 3Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?100¢ / 0¢$50closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$56closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?9¢ / 91¢$10closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?1¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?49¢ / 52¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closed