LoLDemacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · FlyQuest

FlyQuest2-1Shopify Rebellion

Demacia Cup Global Invitational · Group Stage· Oct 7, 2026 · 10:15–12:25 UTC· 2h 10m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.9M
Trades
10,240
Significant
94 ≥ $3,649
Low · high
64¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = FlyQuest · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · FlyQuestG1G2 · Shopify Rebelli…G2G3 · FlyQuestG364¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 12:13$64.6K YES · Lakersfan111$24.8K YES · Diabolical-Prize$11.8K YES · fkigedgjdgwbg$8.3K YES · Sunshine.Smile$7.2K YES · 3648393489047$6.9K NO · AnjunSMART8%50% FlyQuest10:1512:25 resolved
smart consensus 8% → 50% YES
G1FlyQuest71¢ → 89¢$286.1K
G2Shopify Rebellion89¢ → 66¢$517.4K
G3FlyQuest66¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first18
WALL EATEN67¢ · $85.7K ask wall gone instantly$36.7K eaten · $49.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:ScroooogeMcDucksmart+7 more on the same level· 96% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $36.7K· 9 fills
WALL EATEN99.9¢ · $58.8K bid wall gone in 70s$17.7K eaten · $36.6K pulled · $4.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A46whale+18 more on the same level· 35% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 888888u $11.5K· mamamiyaXD $3.5K· XieuRong $999· +15 more· 42 fills
WALL EATEN68¢ · $47.9K ask wall gone in 38s$20.2K eaten · $27.7K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:sofa88888+14 more on the same level· 32% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $20.2K· +3 more· 17 fills
WALL EATEN69¢ · $25.5K ask wall gone in 22s$12.1K eaten · $12.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:zb8hedger+12 more on the same level· 51% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $11.3K· frohp5 $453· +10 more· 28 fills
WALL EATEN69¢ · $23.9K ask wall gone instantly$9.4K eaten · $14.5K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Harmless-Fatigues+3 more on the same level· 94% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $9.4K· 4 fills
WALL EATEN90¢ · $23.6K bid wall gone in 24s$13.7K eaten · $4.1K pulled · $5.9K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:0x7f61…293d+2 more on the same level· 99% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· duratio10 $5.5K· minji $3.1K· xytest $3.1K· +4 more· 9 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst FlyQuest buy ≥ $1K · by time25 wallets
1a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$20
$2.7K at 84¢· pre-match · 1d 16h before· win rate 33.1%
2antec0x8935…7daaretail−$240
$7.8K at 83¢· pre-match · 13h 30m before· win rate 50.5%
$1.6K at 82¢· pre-match · 13h 23m before· win rate 13.5%
4CAcap0xd619…c461retail+$110
$1.9K at 62¢· pre-match · 10h 56m before· win rate 42.1%
5boss80xc875…f2c8retail−$84
$1.4K at 63¢· pre-match · 10h 54m before· win rate 54.5%
6VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart−$1.5K
$1.1K at 62¢· pre-match · 10h 54m before· win rate 58.1%
7Eminent-Pole0xfb07…e2ccretail+$1.1K
$1.9K at 62¢· pre-match · 10h 54m before· win rate 46.8%
8rookie7650xf1c9…363fsmart+$635
$1.4K at 69¢· pre-match · 1m before· win rate 67.3%
9HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail−$57
$6.2K at 77¢· G1 · 03:16· win rate 49.3%
10madkkee0xd27c…c081retail+$1.8K
$5.2K at 74¢· G1 · 04:49· win rate 64.2%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 347 wallets
Top winners
ARI100KRAT0x55d9…832cretail+$4.7K
callmenuts0xfa88…85a5retail+$1.9K
madkkee0xd27c…c081retail+$1.8K
vrcat0xe922…39b3retail+$1.8K
timdmcf0x4a64…1dfcretail+$1.6K
Top losers
ScroooogeMcDuck0xc350…3669smartwhale−$35.3K
ArturitoFilito0x336b…1233retail−$21.0K
fRibrenlc0x6f3e…bcf8whale−$11.5K
Grand-Access0x4468…b165smart−$10.6K
avia.0x068c…bce7retail−$9.1K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): PT-S2, Diabolical-Prize, yishiwucheng, duratio10 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution224 wallets
50%YES FlyQuest · the winner· from 8% at match start
YES capital
$845.0K
NO capital
$359.7K
Hedged
$192.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 94 TRADES ≥ $3,649 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$64.6K
YES69¢series10:11:18whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$1.57M
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$42.9K
YES68¢series10:10:18whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$1.57M
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$24.8K
YES69¢series12:00:17whale
win rate 49.5%lifetime −$946.8K
zb80x0224…292a$22.3K
YES73¢map 211:11:31smartwhale
win rate 59.8%lifetime +$350.0K
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$21.8K
YES69¢map 211:11:00whale
win rate 49.5%lifetime −$946.8K
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$13.6K
YES68¢series11:59:42whale
win rate 49.5%lifetime −$946.8K
fkigedgjdgwbg0x52ec…a6f3$11.8K
sell YES68¢series11:59:54smart
win rate 59.2%lifetime +$516.4K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$10.5K
YES69¢map 211:07:33smartwhale
win rate 58.7%lifetime +$1.16M
Match markets37 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage100¢ / 0¢$1.4Mclosedmap 1LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$493.0Kclosedmap 2LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$929.9Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$1.5Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$52.9Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$1.0Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1¢ / 100¢$96closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 1¢$67closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 1¢$200closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 2Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap odd even 3Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?42¢ / 59¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?49¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?39¢ / 61¢$100closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?49¢ / 52¢$33closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?1¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?39¢ / 61¢$100closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?1¢ / 100¢$50closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?39¢ / 61¢$100closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?27¢ / 74¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?1¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?39¢ / 61¢$100closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?1¢ / 100¢$50closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?39¢ / 61¢$100closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?51¢ / 49¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
FlyQuest 2-1 Shopify Rebellion · Demacia Cup Global Invitational · match recap | OrcaLayer