LoLLCS · Playoffs · BO5View on Polymarket RESOLVED · LYON

LYON3-1Shopify Rebellion

LCS · Playoffs· Sep 26, 2026 · 20:00–23:10 UTC· 3h 10m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.8M
Trades
10,050
Significant
113 ≥ $4,201
Low · high
86¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = LYON · 1-min VWAP · rings = 5 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢G1 · LYONG1G2 · LYONG2G3 · Shopify Rebelli…G3G4 · LYONG485¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 20:54$20.8K YES · Dearest-Urge$15.8K YES · vtcchampion52$10.8K YES · Hard-Wrong$9.8K YES · EbatorVagin228$6.9K YES · jaytee158SMART97%97% LYON20:0023:10 resolved
smart consensus leaned LY from 20:03 at 87¢ · 97% → 97%
G1LYON87¢ → 94¢$128.0K
G2LYON94¢ → 98¢$102.2K
G3Shopify Rebellion98¢ → 93¢$163.5K
G4LYON93¢ → 99.9¢$151.6K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first4
WALL EATEN93¢ · $37.7K bid wall gone instantly$20.8K eaten · $16.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:vtcchampion52bot· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $20.8K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN73¢ · $16.3K ask wall gone in 92s$6.2K eaten · $10.1K pulledmap 4
Maker revealed by fills:meoooow+5 more on the same level· 81% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· vtcchampion52 $6.1K· +2 more· 9 fills
WALL EATEN76¢ · $12.6K ask wall gone in 40s$4.0K eaten · $8.6K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:sofa88888+13 more on the same level· 82% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 3648393489047 $4.0K· +8 more· 31 fills
WALL EATEN75¢ · $12.1K bid wall gone in 42s$11.1K eaten · $1.0K pulledmap 4
Maker revealed by fills:MacongonOil· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $9.3K· sportteryqq $1.8K· 4 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst LYON buy ≥ $1K · by time18 wallets
1a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$1
$2.2K at 95¢· pre-match · 17h 31m before· win rate 26.2%
20xbcc3…ac9cretail+$267
$1.2K at 82¢· pre-match · 15h 51m before· win rate unknown
3387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail−$17
$1.5K at 90¢· pre-match · 12h 46m before· win rate 50.8%
4Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6ewhale+$10.8K
$79.2K at 88¢· pre-match · 10h 11m before· win rate 50.1%
5laopilao0xce29…3b0dwhale+$247
$2.0K at 89¢· pre-match · 3h 17m before· win rate 52.9%
6antec0x8935…7daaretail−$181
$7.9K at 90¢· pre-match · 3h 17m before· win rate 50.4%
7darkumbreon880x0235…cee5retail+$747
$4.6K at 86¢· pre-match · 2h 25m before· win rate 60.3%
8youcanbuythisbot0xfe67…a2e8retail+$371
$4.8K at 86¢· pre-match · 2h 1m before· win rate 49.0%
9Lucky-Invader0xa9c4…7433retail+$174
$4.5K at 85¢· pre-match · 1h 59m before· win rate 48.5%
10sippingcoffee0x01b6…7d7csmart+$269
$4.3K at 85¢· pre-match · 1h 59m before· win rate 91.8%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 184 wallets
Top winners
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6ewhale+$10.8K
darkumbreon880x0235…cee5retail+$747
ripplecs0x0844…f46aretail+$665
youcanbuythisbot0xfe67…a2e8retail+$371
BaccaratRoulette0x59f4…c1f1retail+$326
Top losers
mythos1.80x21b7…c861retail−$1.8K
mimi1210x14af…ca2cwhale−$1.2K
deogoner0xcd7c…454fretail−$903
woshiliangzai0xdb15…8393retail−$834
elenaarybakin210x4afb…ed2bretail−$420
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): jaytee158, vtcchampion52, nigiri99, Future-Tarot-Trader +4
Smart consensus · at resolution92 wallets
97%YES LYON · the winner· from 97% at match start
YES capital
$406.2K
NO capital
$41.5K
Hedged
$54.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 113 TRADES ≥ $4,201 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Dearest-Urge0xf201…527e$20.8K
sell YES93¢series22:23:21whale
win rate 54.4%lifetime +$1.09M
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076$16.1K
YES73¢map 422:27:31bot
win rate 50.3%lifetime +$1.7K
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076$15.8K
YES94¢series20:47:05bot
win rate 50.3%lifetime +$1.7K
36483934890470x67ac…edf1$13.0K
YES76¢map 221:02:49smartwhale
win rate 65.6%lifetime +$433.4K
Hard-Wrong0x5b10…9659$10.8K
YES89¢series20:09:40smart
win rate 58.0%lifetime +$54.7K
EbatorVagin2280xad69…7397$9.8K
sell YES93¢series22:23:07smart
win rate 72.2%lifetime +$25.4K
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23$9.6K
YES77¢map 220:52:14whale
win rate 78.6%lifetime −$55.7K
Dearest-Urge0xf201…527e$9.3K
sell YES75¢map 422:21:29whale
win rate 54.4%lifetime +$1.09M
More from this tournamentLCS 2026 Summer Split →
Match markets67 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$476.3Kclosedmap 1LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$269.7Kclosedmap 2LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$240.7Kclosedmap 3LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner0¢ / 100¢$343.0Kclosedmap 4LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 4 Winner100¢ / 0¢$326.4Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 3.5100¢ / 0¢$33.2Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 4.50¢ / 100¢$13.1Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$61.8Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)0¢ / 100¢$153.3Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$1.2Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$2.0Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$70closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$30closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$30closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$40closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$22closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 4?51¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4?100¢ / 0¢$10closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?100¢ / 0¢$190closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?100¢ / 0¢$2.2Kclosedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?0¢ / 100¢$155closedmap odd even 2Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?0¢ / 100¢$14closedmap odd even 3Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?0¢ / 100¢$66closedmap odd even 4Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?51¢ / 49¢$0closedmap odd even 5Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?49¢ / 52¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?48¢ / 52¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?15¢ / 85¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$30closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?26¢ / 75¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?49¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?26¢ / 75¢$0closedmap prop 3First Blood in Game 3?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?49¢ / 52¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 4First Blood in Game 4?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?51¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?52¢ / 48¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
LYON 3-1 Shopify Rebellion · LCS · match recap | OrcaLayer