LoLLCS · Playoffs · BO5View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Shopify Rebellion

FlyQuest2-3Shopify Rebellion

LCS · Playoffs· Sep 25, 2026 · 20:00–23:53 UTC· 3h 53m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.9M
Trades
16,458
Significant
181 ≥ $2,000
Low · high
0.1¢ → 92¢
Price path · full matchYES = FlyQuest · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · FlyQuestG1G2 · Shopify Rebelli…G2G3 · FlyQuestG3G4 · Shopify Rebelli…G4G5 · Shopify Rebelli…G50¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 23:52$32.1K YES · Substantial-Service$17.2K YES · bloodmaster$12.9K YES · Velin217$11.7K YES · Dearest-Urge$11.3K YES · Gengfrauds$9.6K YES · 3648393489047SMART4%18% Shopify Rebel…20:0023:53 resolved
smart consensus 96% → 82% YES
G1FlyQuest78¢ → 88¢$200.4K
G2Shopify Rebellion88¢ → 73¢$256.0K
G3FlyQuest73¢ → 89¢$248.5K
G4Shopify Rebellion89¢ → 66¢$246.3K
G5Shopify Rebellion66¢ → 1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first20
WALL EATEN76¢ · $21.8K bid wall gone in 42s$13.1K eaten · $6.9K pulled · $1.9K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:TAIWANNUMBERONEwhale+1 more on the same level· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Velin217 $12.9K· +1 more· 8 fills
WALL EATEN68¢ · $19.6K ask wall gone in 75s$9.9K eaten · $7.0K pulled · $2.7K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:equalsignificancesmart+5 more on the same level· 48% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0xa385…3317 $2.8K· insole.morsels $2.4K· MaoZeDonK $1.6K· +31 more· 53 fills
WALL EATEN69¢ · $19.6K ask wall gone in 52s$8.8K eaten · $9.5K pulled · $1.3K still theremap 4
Maker revealed by fills:Harmless-Fatigues+5 more on the same level· 89% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $8.7K· +3 more· 10 fills
WALL EATEN70¢ · $19.2K ask wall gone in 26s$7.1K eaten · $11.9K pulledmap 4
Maker revealed by fills:pg132+4 more on the same level· 93% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $6.9K· +2 more· 8 fills
WALL EATEN61¢ · $17.2K ask wall gone in 4s$10.9K eaten · $6.3K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:madwish355+4 more on the same level· 59% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· bloodmaster $10.9K· +2 more· 8 fills
WALL EATEN62¢ · $16.0K ask wall gone in 55s$7.8K eaten · $7.6K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:madwish355+11 more on the same level· 52% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Gengfrauds $6.9K· Saber-greed $508· 0x6a4e…6ed7 $202· +8 more· 29 fills
Who entered before the reversalShopify Rebellion last traded ≤ 40¢ at G5 · 27:39 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L55 wallets
1madwish3550x000e…f7e9retail+$22.3K
$13.5K at 38¢· pre-match · 17h 2m before· win rate 45.9%
2RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$18.2K
$11.8K at 39¢· G5 · 14:54· win rate 60.0%
3natorgatorontop0x258c…7c23smart+$9.6K
$6.0K at 39¢· G5 · 15:58· win rate 65.2%
4equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail+$9.0K
$6.0K at 40¢· G5 · 15:09· win rate 52.0%
5Anjun0x4337…8882smartwhale+$6.1K
$2.7K at 22¢· pre-match · 13m before· win rate 58.8%
6alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$4.8K
$4.2K at 42¢· G5 · 19:48· win rate 44.6%
7SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail+$3.6K
$945 at 21¢· pre-match · 41m before· win rate 31.2%
8elenaarybakin210x4afb…ed2bretail+$2.5K
$1.0K at 10¢· G4 · 11:49· win rate 39.2%
9iloveoreos0x9d72…02d0retail+$2.4K
$640 at 21¢· pre-match · 13m before· win rate 27.1%
10CAcap0xd619…c461retail+$2.3K
$700 at 23¢· pre-match · 10h 55m before· win rate 43.9%
Reversal = last time Shopify Rebellion traded ≤ 40¢ (G5 · 27:39). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 300 wallets
Top winners
madwish3550x000e…f7e9retail+$22.3K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$18.2K
natorgatorontop0x258c…7c23smart+$9.6K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail+$9.0K
Anjun0x4337…8882smartwhale+$6.1K
Top losers
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffdwhale−$23.8K
Vetch0x9c82…1f13smart−$12.5K
Aromatic-Book0xff6b…c7f4retail−$8.6K
9999996665443325788556677880x85fb…89baretail−$3.9K
Electricy0x7011…c6dasmartwhale−$3.4K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): vtcchampion52, dwedwd, Future-Tarot-Trader, allfunds +4
Smart consensus · at resolution226 wallets
18%NO Shopify Rebellion · the winner· from 4% at match start
YES capital
$540.5K
NO capital
$270.8K
Hedged
$270.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 181 TRADES ≥ $2,000 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$32.1K
YES80¢series21:36:58whale
win rate 54.9%lifetime +$7.30M
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70$26.8K
NO78¢total19:58:46smartwhale
win rate 87.5%lifetime +$642.3K
Dearest-Urge0xf201…527e$19.3K
YES69¢map 422:45:20retail
win rate 54.4%lifetime +$989.0K
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70$17.2K
YES61¢series23:28:21smartwhale
win rate 87.5%lifetime +$642.3K
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23$16.3K
YES79¢series19:46:33smartwhale
win rate 78.6%lifetime +$84.8K
Dearest-Urge0xf201…527e$16.1K
YES70¢map 422:45:48retail
win rate 54.4%lifetime +$989.0K
Velin2170x9a5e…cd58$12.9K
sell YES76¢series20:09:15whale
win rate 68.6%lifetime −$6.3K
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70$12.6K
YES66¢series23:32:34smartwhale
win rate 87.5%lifetime +$642.3K
More from this tournamentLCS 2026 Summer Split →
Match markets68 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesLoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$973.4Kclosedmap 1LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$379.7Kclosedmap 2LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$518.7Kclosedmap 3LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner100¢ / 0¢$477.7Kclosedmap 4LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 4 Winner0¢ / 100¢$426.4Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 3.5100¢ / 0¢$56.4Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 4.5100¢ / 0¢$92.7Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$37.6Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)0¢ / 100¢$39.7Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$95closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$35closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$45closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$4.1Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$999closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$35closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$15closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$585closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$50closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$35closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$35closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$35closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 3?100¢ / 0¢$5closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$15closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$550closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$60closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$15closedmap kill total 3Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?100¢ / 0¢$47closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$510closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$10closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 4Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap odd even 1Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?100¢ / 0¢$14closedmap odd even 2Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?100¢ / 0¢$65closedmap odd even 3Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?100¢ / 0¢$35closedmap odd even 4Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap odd even 5Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$7closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$60closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3First Blood in Game 3?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 4Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 4First Blood in Game 4?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 5Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closed
FlyQuest 2-3 Shopify Rebellion · LCS · match recap | OrcaLayer