Dota 21win Essence · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · PARIVISION

PARIVISION2-1GamerLegion

1win Essence · Playoffs · Nov 15, 2026 · 10:00–14:08 UTC · 4h 08m · VOD on twitch
Volume
$3.0M
Trades
19,108
Significant
139 ≥ $2,007
Low · high
51¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = PARIVISION · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · GamerLegionG1G2 · PARIVISIONG2G3 · PARIVISIONG351¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 13:35$14.6K YES · Sisyphus-$14.1K YES · GeorgeRe$8.3K YES · MD14$7.5K YES · Bettong$7.2K YES · ztao$6.7K YES · drrongoSMART100%94% PARIVISION10:0014:08 resolved
smart consensus leaned PARIVISION from 10:01 at 88¢ · 100% → 94%
G1GamerLegion85¢ → 52¢$666.7K
G2PARIVISION52¢ → 74¢$236.2K
G3PARIVISION74¢ → 99.9¢no map market
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first16
WALL EATEN99.9¢ · $137.8K bid wall gone in 13s$72.7K eaten · $65.1K pulledmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:devilmaycry12345+5 more on the same level· 40% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· GooGooGaga1 $42.5K· UNIVERSEMVP $23.8K· howtoplaydota $4.0K· +6 more· 19 fills
WALL EATEN70¢ · $18.7K ask wall gone in 9s$7.5K eaten · $5.6K pulled · $5.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:relativesignificancesmart+5 more on the same level· 56% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· DotaBotReborn $2.0K· DamwonChampions2026 $900· Nervous-Parallelogram $900· +52 more· 65 fills
WALL EATEN99¢ · $16.2K bid wall gone instantly$12.5K eaten · $1.4K pulled · $2.4K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:kejsi+5 more on the same level· 97% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x68e8…8661 $12.5K· 7 fills
WALL EATEN76¢ · $15.6K bid wall gone in 12s$5.1K eaten · $10.5K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:relativesignificancesmart+3 more on the same level· 93% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Medo3D $4.1K· TakeMakeSell $692· anni88 $168· +1 more· 8 fills
WALL EATEN75¢ · $12.4K ask wall gone in 51s$6.0K eaten · $6.4K pulledmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:GeorgeResmart+5 more on the same level· 40% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· SineNooneEI $4.2K· Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling $1.7K· +2 more· 10 fills
WALL EATEN75¢ · $12.2K bid wall gone in 30s$5.1K eaten · $7.1K pulledmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:yadenssmart+6 more on the same level· 52% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· pvc975 $3.5K· Megabob44 $984· jiafanpomarke001 $453· +2 more· 10 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst PARIVISION buy ≥ $1K · by time114 wallets
1ameisgoat110x2da3…f258retail+$2.0K
$9.1K at 65¢· pre-match · 5h 10m before· win rate 53.9%
2antec0x8935…7daaretail+$291
$17.8K at 79¢· pre-match · 5h 10m before· win rate 51.6%
3a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$147
$11.9K at 81¢· pre-match · 4h 58m before· win rate 40.4%
48D1cDXikbIYM5T0xbbd9…de31retail+$597
$4.4K at 88¢· pre-match · 3h 8m before· win rate 62.2%
5suntori0xe907…cff6whale−$1.4K
$2.3K at 82¢· pre-match · 2h 48m before· win rate 41.7%
6changchen30x116a…044aretail+$990
$6.8K at 87¢· pre-match · 2h 37m before· win rate 37.0%
70x6891…6bb9bot−$2
$7.8K at 81¢· pre-match · 55m before· win rate 24.4%
8oneheadedtiger0xfdc0…4b85retail+$197
$1.2K at 86¢· pre-match · 40m before· win rate 50.8%
9RobertRoba0x703e…fd74retail+$2.0K
$12.1K at 86¢· pre-match · 20m before· win rate 53.3%
10jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23retail+$980
$6.0K at 86¢· pre-match · 17m before· win rate 78.4%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 1050 wallets
Top winners
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57asmart+$9.9K
GeorgeRe0x87da…53d1smart+$8.7K
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98whale+$7.3K
Bettong0x63bc…92c5retail+$6.6K
MD140x7d78…29a5smartwhale+$5.1K
Top losers
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076whalebot−$32.6K
CyberScore.live0x3413…8ff2retail−$10.0K
Medo3D0x1550…5481retail−$9.4K
cat3xcat3x0x08c2…c023smart−$9.2K
Linear-Outlook0xebc6…4608retail−$7.2K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): NotJump
Smart consensus · at resolution161 wallets
94%YES PARIVISION · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$659.6K
NO capital
$226.5K
Hedged
$211.9K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 139 TRADES ≥ $2,007 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$19.1K
NO73¢map 111:02:03whale
win rate 54.7%lifetime +$8.02M
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$14.6K
YES73¢series13:18:02smart
win rate 58.9%lifetime +$748.8K
GeorgeRe0x87da…53d1$14.1K
YES75¢series13:15:59smart
win rate 55.1%lifetime +$305.6K
YES86¢series09:45:32retail
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1$12.4K
YES75¢map 110:26:42whale
win rate 53.6%lifetime +$878.9K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
YES70¢map 211:55:22whale
win rate 58.4%lifetime +$312.2K
pvc9750xa16a…33a1$9.7K
sell YES75¢map 111:40:50whalefarmer
win rate 97.5%lifetime +$308.3K
MD140x7d78…29a5$9.4K
YES74¢map 212:18:08smartwhale
win rate 65.0%lifetime +$226.4K
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PARIVISION 2-1 GamerLegion · 1win Essence · match recap | OrcaLayer