Dota 2PGL · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

Natus Vincere2-11win

PGL · Group Stage · Sep 22, 2026 · 10:30–13:26 UTC · 2h 56m · VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.7M
Trades
9,839
Significant
101 ≥ $3,415
Low · high
25¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Natus Vincere · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · 1winG1G2 · Natus VincereG2G3 · Natus VincereG325¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 13:18$23.5K YES · Diabolical-Prize$10.0K NO · Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling$9.6K YES · Favorable-Pepper-Brushing$8.9K YES · bloodmaster$8.2K YES · Harmless-Fatigues$7.1K YES · 1117gudu231SMART47%56% Natus Vincere10:3013:26 resolved
smart consensus leaned Natus Vincere from G3 at 95¢ · 47% → 56%
G11win51¢ → 26¢$324.0K
G2Natus Vincere26¢ → 53¢$455.5K
G3Natus Vincere53¢ → 99.9¢no map market
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first17
WALL EATEN47¢ · $48.1K ask wall gone in 1s$26.8K eaten · $20.3K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Netrolwhale+4 more on the same level· 75% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $26.5K· +2 more· 7 fills
WALL EATEN45¢ · $31.2K bid wall gone in 5s$18.0K eaten · $13.2K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Dota2winner· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· sdfqq1 $18.0K· +1 more· 3 fills
WALL EATEN55¢ · $27.2K bid wall gone in 30s$17.6K eaten · $1.7K pulled · $8.0K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:0xb1ce…3991· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Netrol $10.0K· Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling $5.1K· 0xa1fa…729a $1.2K· +10 more· 26 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $25.1K ask wall gone in 26s$7.8K eaten · $10.2K pulled · $7.2K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:Harmless-Fatigues+3 more on the same level· 92% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dota2winner $4.1K· llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlI $3.2K· +4 more· 17 fills
WALL EATEN46¢ · $23.7K bid wall gone in 37s$13.9K eaten · $8.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Diabolical-Prizewhale+2 more on the same level· 84% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling $8.4K· FvckMachine $2.6K· 0x076d…8d4c $1.1K· +18 more· 24 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $22.3K bid wall gone in 3s$13.4K eaten · $2.7K pulled · $6.3K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0xb1ce…3991· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR $5.5K· minji $2.4K· muglishainer $2.2K· +6 more· 10 fills
Who entered before the reversalNatus Vincere last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 60:40 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L42 wallets
1Bradbellick0x8da8…44a3retail+$5.8K
$4.1K at 41¢· G2 · 01:24· win rate 47.5%
2Nervous-Parallelogram0xec98…afcdsmart+$4.2K
$8.1K at 54¢· G1 · 28:05· win rate 55.6%
3sbsigner0x1b47…d814retail+$2.8K
$1.9K at 40¢· G2 · 39:16· win rate 53.1%
4suntori0xe907…cff6whale+$2.7K
$3.0K at 48¢· G2 · 27:03· win rate 41.7%
5iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$1.4K
$14.4K at 61¢· G2 · 53:24· win rate 59.0%
6COWBOY02970xfd0f…3656retail+$585
$205 at 26¢· G2 · 22:14· win rate 53.0%
7BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$566
$6.1K at 60¢· G1 · 29:35· win rate 55.2%
8poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$564
$850 at 54¢· G2 · 53:24· win rate 47.4%
9dsdsgfgfs0xa29a…9a97retail+$460
$473 at 37¢· G2 · 35:36· win rate 39.2%
10gonnachangelater0x54ac…47e6smart+$334
$1.2K at 60¢· G2 · 34:19· win rate 59.8%
Reversal = last time Natus Vincere traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 60:40). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 1096 wallets
Top winners
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aebwhale+$87.1K
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70smart+$16.0K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882whale+$13.7K
Harmless-Fatigues0xe2d0…7bbfretail+$8.9K
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9smart+$6.6K
Top losers
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30whale−$50.0K
Frank1234567890xb1ce…3991retail−$31.8K
Netrol0x23c8…f293whale−$21.2K
sdfqq10xce7d…898esmart−$18.7K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329esmartwhale−$15.1K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Cryptogod2389
Smart consensus · at resolution232 wallets
56%YES Natus Vincere · the winner· from 47% at match start
YES capital
$708.8K
NO capital
$484.1K
Hedged
$180.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 101 TRADES ≥ $3,415 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$23.5K
YES47¢series12:44:31whale
win rate 49.1%lifetime +$2.00M
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$23.5K
YES47¢series12:44:14whale
win rate 49.1%lifetime +$2.00M
sdfqq10xce7d…898e$22.7K
NO55¢map 211:39:28retail
win rate 62.2%lifetime +$35.9K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$15.3K
YES49¢map 211:36:25smartwhale
win rate 58.2%lifetime +$669.4K
NewChapp0x82da…da33$11.0K
NO47¢series09:26:27retail
win rate 47.2%lifetime −$118.4K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$10.2K
YES56¢map 110:36:05smart
win rate 59.0%lifetime +$749.6K
Frank1234567890xb1ce…3991$10.2K
YES52¢map 211:36:46retail
win rate 66.7%lifetime −$26.8K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
NO54¢series12:45:59whale
win rate 58.2%lifetime −$73.3K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 →
Match markets33 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage100¢ / 0¢$1.3Mclosedmap 1Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$518.3Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$827.5Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$683closedseries handicapGame Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$833closedseries handicapGame Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$58closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$8closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closed
Natus Vincere 2-1 1win · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer