Dota 2PGL · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Aurora

LGD Gaming0-2Aurora

PGL · Group Stage· Sep 22, 2026 · 13:45–15:57 UTC· 2h 12m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.2M
Trades
10,359
Significant
83 ≥ $2,462
Low · high
0.1¢ → 59¢
Price path · full matchYES = LGD Gaming · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢G1 · AuroraG1G2 · AuroraG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 15:38$8.1K NO · 0x8918…7725$5.4K NO · jtwyslljy$5.2K YES · GEAEW$4.6K NO · 8D1cDXikbIYM5TSMART66%62% Aurora13:4515:57 resolved
smart consensus leaned AUR from G2 at 96¢ · 66% → 62%
G1Aurora43¢ → 23¢$600.4K
G2Aurora23¢ → 0.1¢$430.5K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first5
WALL EATEN50¢ · $26.1K bid wall gone in 18s$13.1K eaten · $9.5K pulled · $3.4K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:Harmless-Fatigues+2 more on the same level· 63% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· sofa88888 $6.0K· llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlI $2.9K· spartachio $1.6K· +7 more· 29 fills
WALL EATEN55¢ · $15.3K ask wall gone in 27s$9.5K eaten · $2.7K pulled · $3.1K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:Dota2winner+2 more on the same level· 77% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· minji $2.0K· r2d2v2 $1.9K· 0x28ab…d5bf $1.2K· +18 more· 25 fills
WALL EATEN51¢ · $13.1K ask wall gone in 32s$12.3K eaten · $735 pulledmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:equalsignificancesmart+7 more on the same level· 60% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Netrol $6.7K· sashasasha5 $2.5K· momijidan $1.2K· +9 more· 21 fills
WALL EATEN38¢ · $11.5K bid wall gone in 10s$6.8K eaten · $4.7K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:babonski+4 more on the same level· 93% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· halanddd123 $5.2K· maytopmay $629· 0x5ba3…24b4 $279· +12 more· 19 fills
WALL EATEN48¢ · $10.6K bid wall gone instantly$3.2K eaten · $4.2K pulled · $3.2K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:0x0a2d…c64chedger+2 more on the same level· 93% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling $3.2K· 3 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Aurora buy ≥ $1K · by time15 wallets
1TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail+$3.9K
$6.1K at 61¢· pre-match · 15h 31m before· win rate 63.1%
2darkumbreon880x0235…cee5retail+$880
$1.3K at 59¢· pre-match · 14h 16m before· win rate 64.4%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail+$82
$4.0K at 57¢· pre-match · 3h 9m before· win rate 50.6%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$51
$1.3K at 77¢· pre-match · 2h 17m before· win rate 35.4%
5keris70x2f62…dd4dretail+$2.5K
$3.2K at 56¢· pre-match · 21m before· win rate 57.6%
6forsenxd0x0286…f61dretail+$925
$1.6K at 57¢· pre-match · 18m before· win rate 53.3%
7sofa888880xa103…1c14retail+$3.5K
$11.9K at 54¢· pre-match · 17m before· win rate 44.4%
8ARI100KRAT0x55d9…832cretail+$1.3K
$1.7K at 57¢· pre-match · 17m before· win rate 48.6%
90xbb29…947aretail+$1.3K
$1.9K at 55¢· pre-match · 14m before· win rate 50.1%
10asdfasfqqq0xd052…563dretail+$1.3K
$1.6K at 55¢· pre-match· win rate 55.1%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 161 wallets
Top winners
TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail+$3.9K
sofa888880xa103…1c14retail+$3.5K
keris70x2f62…dd4dretail+$2.5K
Scented-Foal-Burial0x6d9e…28d6retail+$2.4K
0xbb29…947aretail+$1.3K
Top losers
ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart−$2.4K
ethanHY0xda62…b0e8retail−$840
beeepbeep0x2316…9819retail−$720
chenpinganaa0xaf6f…9f0aretail−$520
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$348
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): ameisgoat11, 21372137, depresssin, BACKTESTEOCARAIO1 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution65 wallets
62%NO Aurora · the winner· from 66% at match start
YES capital
$86.8K
NO capital
$219.4K
Hedged
$35.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 83 TRADES ≥ $2,462 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Netrol0x23c8…f293$20.8K
sell NO61¢map 215:11:43whale
win rate 41.8%lifetime +$153.9K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$13.1K
NO54¢map 113:51:58smartwhale
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$685.8K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$12.3K
NO61¢map 215:11:16smart
win rate 58.4%lifetime +$488.8K
Netrol0x23c8…f293$12.0K
YES50¢map 113:55:31whale
win rate 41.8%lifetime +$153.9K
halanddd1230x2787…e0c4$11.7K
NO62¢map 215:11:28whale
win rate 52.2%lifetime +$107.0K
Netrol0x23c8…f293$10.4K
YES51¢map 113:56:45whale
win rate 41.8%lifetime +$153.9K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
NO54¢map 214:55:02whale
win rate 57.8%lifetime −$1.53M
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
NO51¢map 113:55:39whale
win rate 57.8%lifetime −$1.53M
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 →
Match markets33 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage0¢ / 100¢$281.1Kclosedmap 1Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$1.1Mclosedmap 2Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$800.7Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$437closedseries handicapGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$8.4Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$6.0Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$16closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$81closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$106closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
LGD Gaming 0-2 Aurora · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer