Dota 2PGL · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · LGD Gaming

LGD Gaming2-1Yakult Brothers

PGL · Group Stage· Sep 19, 2026 · 14:0017:17 UTC· 3h 17m· VOD on youtube
Volume
$879.9K
Trades
5,264
Significant
65 ≥ $1,176
Low · high
39¢ 87¢
Price path · full matchYES = LGD Gaming · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · Yakult BrothersG1G2 · LGD GamingG2G3 · LGD GamingG339¢ low$2.9K NO · Sunshine.Smile$2.8K NO · ColdW$2.5K YES · cat3xcat3x$2.2K NO · Sisyphus-$2.1K YES · Favorable-Pepper-Brushing$1.9K YES · Happy-Go-Lucky-NestlingSMART94%49% LGD Gaming14:0017:17 resolved
smart consensus 94% → 49% YES
G1Yakult Brothers72¢ 41¢$146.7K
G2LGD Gaming41¢ 65¢$192.9K
G3LGD Gaming65¢ 85¢
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first2
WALL EATEN61¢ · $11.4K ask wall gone in 16s$5.8K eaten · $2.6K pulled · $3.1K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:sofa88888+2 more on the same level· 97% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· minji $1.8K· Nervous-Parallelogram $1.2K· xytest $585· +15 more· 22 fills
WALL EATEN61¢ · $11.0K bid wall gone instantly$11.0K eatenmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:hamlo+4 more on the same level· 72% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dota2winner $11.0K· 6 fills
Who entered before the reversalLGD Gaming last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 26:11 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L6 wallets
1ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$1.8K
$5.9K at 67¢· G2 · 21:41· win rate 47.9%
2antec0x8935…7daaretail+$205
$5.4K at 69¢· G2 · 21:41· win rate 50.2%
3BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$89
$1.2K at 66¢· G2 · 25:55· win rate 56.6%
4Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$56
$815 at 57¢· G2 · 25:22· win rate 53.3%
5iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$48
$818 at 64¢· G2 · 25:55· win rate 57.9%
6a55330x758d…5d9eretail−$10
$2.0K at 67¢· G2 · 23:47· win rate 23.5%
Reversal = last time LGD Gaming traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 26:11). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 214 wallets
Top winners
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$1.8K
Shameful-Sundae0xb6b8…149bretail+$1.6K
cat3xcat3x0x08c2…c023smart+$1.2K
claudesports0xc2f2…0ff7retail+$1.1K
babonski0xa4f0…b287retail+$923
Top losers
sofa888880xa103…1c14retail−$6.2K
r2d2v20x08b8…e7daretail−$917
InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64retail−$714
322capital0x7e18…872esmart−$586
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail−$330
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling, Bogadane, TIwinner, 21372137 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution119 wallets
49%YES LGD Gaming · the winner· from 94% at match start
YES capital
$159.8K
NO capital
$88.8K
Hedged
$39.3K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 65 TRADES ≥ $1,176 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Dota2winner0x3413…8ff2$9.3K
NO39¢map 215:22:27retail
win rate 47.0%lifetime +$401.6K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$4.7K
YES62¢map 114:15:48smart
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$531.8K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$4.2K
NO50¢map 114:37:01whale
win rate 42.3%lifetime +$366.8K
ribalka0xe59f…0d08$3.8K
sell YES86¢map 215:47:06smart
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$381.4K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$3.6K
YES57¢map 215:28:19smart
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$531.8K
Shameful-Sundae0xb6b8…149b$3.1K
YES62¢map 114:15:10retail
win rate 51.7%lifetime +$36.7K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing0x9e3e…f882$2.9K
YES57¢map 215:28:15whale
win rate 41.8%lifetime $3.05M
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$2.9K
NO38¢series16:38:01smart
win rate 58.8%lifetime +$924.6K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 Group Stage
Match markets36 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage100¢ / $269.3Kclosedmap 1Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner / 100¢$249.4Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner100¢ / $354.3Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / $1.8Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5) / 100¢$2.8Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) / 100¢$68closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100¢ / $20closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100¢ / $20closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100¢ / $70closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100¢ / $20closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$21closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? / 100¢$21closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100¢ / $20closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100¢ / $10closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? / 100¢$11closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1? / 100¢$661closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?100¢ / $0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / $0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill? / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?50¢ / 50¢$0closed
LGD Gaming 2-1 Yakult Brothers · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer