Dota 2PGL · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Aurora

Aurora2-1Pipsqueak+4

PGL · Group Stage· Sep 19, 2026 · 15:15–19:22 UTC· 4h 07m· VOD on youtube
Volume
$702.0K
Trades
4,306
Significant
54 ≥ $1,382
Low · high
36¢ → 98¢
Price path · full matchYES = Aurora · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · Pipsqueak+4G1G2 · AuroraG2G3 · AuroraG336¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 18:56SMART97%97% Aurora15:1519:22 resolved
smart consensus leaned AUR from 14:00 at 80¢ · 97% → 97%
G1Pipsqueak+478¢ → 50¢$149.9K
G2Aurora50¢ → 47¢$126.6K
G3Aurora47¢ → 95¢—
Who entered before the reversalAurora last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 41:54 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L3 wallets
1ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$1.9K
$5.6K at 74¢· G2 · 41:03· win rate 47.5%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$9
$417 at 68¢· G2 · 34:51· win rate 33.1%
3iii2520xed44…4f76smart−$74
$327 at 71¢· G2 · 34:51· win rate 58.9%
Reversal = last time Aurora traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 41:54). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 158 wallets
Top winners
Nervous-Parallelogram0xec98…afcdretail+$2.2K
keris70x2f62…dd4dsmart+$2.0K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$1.9K
minji0x2d39…6053retail+$1.9K
9999996665443325788556677880x85fb…89baretail+$1.1K
Top losers
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$1.0K
Skritopoolniy0xd06c…cdafretail−$848
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail−$809
GEAEW0x88c3…bea3retail−$380
HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail−$169
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling, BookWarrior, 21372137, ameisgoat11 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution88 wallets
97%YES Aurora · the winner· from 97% at match start
YES capital
$103.2K
NO capital
$32.0K
Hedged
$38.3K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 54 TRADES ≥ $1,382 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Dota2winner0x3413…8ff2$7.1K
YES73¢map 115:30:46retail
win rate 47.0%lifetime +$401.6K
keris70x2f62…dd4d$7.1K
YES78¢series12:31:01smart
win rate 60.4%lifetime +$19.5K
FvckMachine0xedfc…b7b1$4.3K
sell YES59¢map 216:46:37retail
win rate 53.5%lifetime +$54.2K
ribalka0xe59f…0d08$4.2K
sell YES61¢map 216:37:43smart
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$381.4K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$4.1K
NO22¢series12:31:01whale
win rate 42.3%lifetime +$366.8K
ribalka0xe59f…0d08$3.6K
sell NO54¢map 115:49:04smart
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$381.4K
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e$3.4K
NO54¢map 115:49:04smartwhale
win rate 58.8%lifetime +$924.6K
Sisyphus-0xf3ce…a57a$3.3K
YES77¢map 115:33:55smart
win rate 58.6%lifetime +$531.8K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 →
Match markets43 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage100¢ / 0¢$160.7Kclosedmap 1Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$287.3Kclosedmap 2Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$250.8Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$20closedseries handicapGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$1.8Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: PIPS+4 (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$25closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$20closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$20closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$15closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$20closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$10closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 115.5 in Game 2?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 120.5 in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?0¢ / 100¢$0closed
Aurora 2-1 Pipsqueak+4 · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer