Dota 2PGL · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

Aurora0-2Natus Vincere

PGL · Playoffs· Sep 26, 2026 · 09:40–11:48 UTC· 2h 08m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$3.1M
Trades
12,109
Significant
102 ≥ $2,063
Low · high
0.1¢ → 53¢
Price path · full matchYES = Aurora · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · Natus VincereG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 11:41$7.3K NO · 0xbadd…e097$5.4K NO · babonski$4.7K YES · sulumos$4.2K NO · yishiwucheng$3.7K NO · clown221$3.6K NO · kissmystakeSMART46%58% Natus Vincere09:4011:48 resolved
smart consensus leaned NAVI from G1 at 71¢ · 46% → 58%
G1Natus Vincere54¢ → 28¢$919.4K
G2Natus Vincere28¢ → 0.1¢$702.6K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first12
WALL EATEN51¢ · $43.0K ask wall gone in 1s$25.9K eaten · $7.5K pulled · $9.5K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:0x676c…e139· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Netrol $25.6K· +2 more· 3 fills
WALL EATEN44¢ · $31.0K bid wall gone in 39s$34.4K eatenmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:0x676c…e139+6 more on the same level· 77% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Netrol $23.5K· mqww $1.5K· 0x1fac…a21e $1.5K· +31 more· 44 fills
WALL EATEN51¢ · $30.1K ask wall gone in 75s$10.3K eaten · $19.9K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Diabolical-Prizewhale+7 more on the same level· 93% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR $4.3K· nomoredream $3.7K· ribalka $753· +14 more· 22 fills
WALL EATEN52¢ · $30.0K ask wall gone in 38s$13.3K eaten · $8.1K pulled · $8.6K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Diabolical-Prizewhale+7 more on the same level· 90% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x1fac…a21e $2.7K· SlowPenguin $2.6K· GEAEW $1.3K· +30 more· 83 fills
WALL EATEN43¢ · $28.5K ask wall gone in 9s$19.4K eaten · $6.5K pulled · $2.6K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:0x3990…3401+2 more on the same level· 71% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $18.8K· importedaccount $513· +2 more· 7 fills
WALL EATEN51¢ · $19.5K bid wall gone in 1s$12.3K eaten · $7.2K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Harmless-Fatigues· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dearest-Urge $9.2K· Nervous-Parallelogram $1.8K· minji $1.1K· +2 more· 5 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Natus Vincere buy ≥ $1K · by time25 wallets
1ameisgoat110x2da3…f258retail+$356
$1.5K at 74¢· pre-match · 11h 7m before· win rate 54.0%
2antec0x8935…7daaretail−$132
$5.3K at 59¢· pre-match · 7h 39m before· win rate 50.4%
3drunkdegenerate0xf184…c2d7retail+$4.1K
$3.7K at 47¢· pre-match · 1h 13m before· win rate 54.4%
4coolz1220xbdd2…6657retail+$2.9K
$2.6K at 48¢· pre-match · 15m before· win rate 52.3%
5PourpelNourpel0xba43…c6c0retail+$1.1K
$1.0K at 48¢· pre-match · 15m before· win rate 50.0%
6GEAEW0x88c3…bea3smart+$5.3K
$4.7K at 47¢· pre-match · 14m before· win rate 59.2%
7spnir0xde82…705dretail+$25
$1.1K at 46¢· pre-match · 10m before· win rate 68.2%
8BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$12
$2.3K at 57¢· G1 · 02:15· win rate 56.5%
9a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$2
$3.3K at 71¢· G1 · 02:17· win rate 26.2%
10RandomGameBet0x904e…0becsmart−$141
$2.0K at 74¢· G1 · 04:13· win rate 57.6%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 206 wallets
Top winners
Uniform1230xe548…a9feretail+$12.2K
GEAEW0x88c3…bea3smart+$5.3K
drunkdegenerate0xf184…c2d7retail+$4.1K
T1NN10x2538…443cretail+$3.5K
coolz1220xbdd2…6657retail+$2.9K
Top losers
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429aretail−$10.4K
tyoprkg0x1f4b…5345retail−$7.6K
keris70x2f62…dd4dsmart−$6.0K
pravica0x5c72…7e7eretail−$3.2K
Wealthfreedom0010x80ba…2e78retail−$2.6K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): yishiwucheng, aaaa298, BACKTESTEOCARAIO1, vtcchampion52 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution87 wallets
58%NO Natus Vincere · the winner· from 46% at match start
YES capital
$153.4K
NO capital
$265.0K
Hedged
$39.7K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 102 TRADES ≥ $2,063 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Netrol0x23c8…f293$34.8K
NO56¢map 109:47:18whale
win rate 41.4%lifetime −$178.0K
Netrol0x23c8…f293$26.7K
YES51¢map 210:59:22hedgerwhale
win rate 41.4%lifetime −$178.0K
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$17.3K
NO59¢map 109:44:40whale
win rate 54.9%lifetime +$7.55M
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$16.9K
NO50¢series09:20:48retail
win rate 41.2%lifetime +$32.5K
Medo3D0x1550…5481$11.1K
sell NO78¢map 109:54:45retail
win rate 44.3%lifetime +$175.8K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09$10.3K
YES41¢map 109:44:40smart
win rate 56.3%lifetime +$327.3K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling0xe16d…5e30$10.0K
YES51¢map 211:00:18retail
win rate 58.0%lifetime −$1.68M
Straight-Recipient0x540d…c8f9$9.8K
YES48¢map 211:36:54smart
win rate 66.4%lifetime +$125.2K
More from this tournamentPGL Wallachia 2026 →
Match markets34 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesDota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$426.7Kclosedmap 1Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$1.4Mclosedmap 2Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$1.3Mclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$9.8Kclosedseries handicapGame Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$287closedseries handicapGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$11.0Kclosedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100¢ / 0¢$15closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 1Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap kill total 2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?32¢ / 69¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?19¢ / 81¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Any Player Rampage?13¢ / 88¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Ends in Daytime?51¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 1Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?34¢ / 66¢$0closedmap prop 1First Blood in Game 1?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Ends in Daytime?50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?34¢ / 66¢$0closedmap prop 2First Blood in Game 2?50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?32¢ / 69¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?19¢ / 81¢$0closedmap prop 2Game 2: Any Player Rampage?13¢ / 88¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Ends in Daytime?50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?34¢ / 66¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?32¢ / 69¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?27¢ / 73¢$0closedmap prop 3Game 3: Any Player Rampage?57¢ / 43¢$0closed
Aurora 0-2 Natus Vincere · PGL · match recap | OrcaLayer