CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Turma do Pagode

Yawara Esports0-2Turma do Pagode

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 27, 2026 · 21:20–23:11 UTC· 1h 51m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$32.7K
Trades
1,132
Significant
4 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 50¢
Price path · full matchYES = Yawara Esports · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢G1 · Turma do PagodeG1G2 · Turma do PagodeG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 23:05$593 NO · ArthurSpoonerSMART78%99% Turma do Pago…21:2023:11 resolved
smart consensus leaned TDP from 21:03 at 64¢ · 78% → 99%
G1Turma do Pagode45¢ → 14¢$5.8K
G2Turma do Pagode14¢ → 0.1¢$6.8K
Biggest buyers of the winnerTurma do Pagode never traded below 50¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner3 wallets
1vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$294
$522 at 64¢· pre-match · 3h 9m before· win rate 52.5%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$1
$146 at 79¢· pre-match · 13h 38m before· win rate 35.4%
3antec0x8935…7daaretail−$82
$101 at 72¢· G1 · 21:34· win rate 50.6%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($500 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 71 wallets
Top winners
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$294
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$19
RewardFarmilka0xa8f1…fee6retail+$16
andersonadn100x947d…dff0retail+$8
ngrasfnbrla0xcb47…4737retail+$8
Top losers
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$82
idushes0x6cd3…226eretail−$40
edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail−$28
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$23
Long-Term-Tonality0x5c6d…ab76retail−$22
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, lma0o0o0o, drhouz, jackccstream +4
Smart consensus · at resolution25 wallets
99%NO Turma do Pagode · the winner· from 78% at match start
YES capital
$2.2K
NO capital
$6.1K
Hedged
$1.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 4 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
ArthurSpooner0x7044…5104$593
NO70¢series22:32:33retail
win rate 58.7%lifetime +$8.3K
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Yawara Esports 0-2 Turma do Pagode · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer