CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Turma do Pagode

Galorys0-2Turma do Pagode

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 28, 2026 · 21:15–23:00 UTC· 1h 45m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$135.1K
Trades
3,679
Significant
14 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 64¢
Price path · full matchYES = Galorys · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Turma do PagodeG1G2 · Turma do PagodeG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 22:53$1.0K NO · suntori$572 NO · davan$570 NO · ClawbangersSMART16%54% Turma do Pago…21:1523:00 resolved
smart consensus leaned TDP from G2 at 100¢ · 16% → 54%
G1Turma do Pagode64¢ → 34¢$22.2K
G2Turma do Pagode34¢ → 0.1¢$21.9K
Who entered before the reversalTurma do Pagode last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 00:53 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L9 wallets
1xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$508
$336 at 40¢· pre-match · 2h 42m before· win rate 56.4%
2poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$196
$339 at 50¢· pre-match · 2h 42m before· win rate 47.5%
3sentrio0xdb83…1e50retail+$86
$101 at 54¢· pre-match · 2h 25m before· win rate 51.3%
4Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$79
$747 at 66¢· pre-match · 3m before· win rate 61.8%
5antec0x8935…7daaretail+$51
$884 at 58¢· pre-match · 11m before· win rate 50.4%
6VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart+$24
$162 at 41¢· pre-match · 2h 42m before· win rate 58.1%
7Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$5
$249 at 67¢· pre-match· win rate 53.5%
8a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$4
$536 at 68¢· pre-match· win rate 28.5%
9froglover0x6891…6bb9retail+$3
$216 at 60¢· pre-match · 2h 35m before· win rate 7.5%
Reversal = last time Turma do Pagode traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 00:53). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 123 wallets
Top winners
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail+$1.2K
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$508
TheodoreDoesntPlay0xa292…7025retail+$494
Audrii0xfbaf…2a03retail+$440
CAcap0xd619…c461retail+$334
Top losers
103820x0ce6…9469retail−$629
Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart−$245
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$196
RewardFarmilka0xa8f1…fee6retail−$90
BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$59
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): jackccstream, davan, Aleex227, BillBenter2026 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution49 wallets
54%NO Turma do Pagode · the winner· from 16% at match start
YES capital
$20.7K
NO capital
$31.7K
Hedged
$7.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 14 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
suntori0xe907…cff6$1.0K
sell NO93¢series22:53:25hedgerwhale
win rate 41.2%lifetime −$7.23M
suntori0xe907…cff6$952
NO89¢series22:38:00hedgerwhale
win rate 41.2%lifetime −$7.23M
Brz46290x3e24…4fab$687
NO45¢map 222:25:38smart
win rate 59.1%lifetime +$76.9K
hideonbush10xa16b…b541$679
YES55¢map 222:25:38smart
win rate 57.5%lifetime +$26.4K
klimam0xfd35…f5cd$601
YES48¢map 121:21:42retail
win rate 40.7%lifetime −$1.6K
Robust-Spandex-Jackfruit0xc28f…6193$587
YES56¢series20:45:13retail
win rate 56.2%lifetime −$10.4K
davan0x7e29…cd86$572
NO42¢series21:11:18retail
win rate 36.4%lifetime −$1.2K
Clawbangers0xbc7d…305e$570
NO85¢series22:37:32retail
win rate 81.0%lifetime −$24.6K
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Galorys 0-2 Turma do Pagode · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer