CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Turma do Pagode

Turma do Pagode2-1ALKA

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 26, 2026 · 21:15–00:06 UTC· 2h 51m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$65.5K
Trades
2,182
Significant
7 ≥ $500
Low · high
36¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Turma do Pagode · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · Turma do PagodeG1G2 · ALKAG2G3 · Turma do PagodeG336¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 23:56SMART100%95% Turma do Pago…21:1500:06 resolved
smart consensus leaned TDP from 21:05 at 75¢ · 100% → 95%
G1Turma do Pagode70¢ → 84¢$5.4K
G2ALKA84¢ → 63¢$10.2K
G3Turma do Pagode63¢ → 99.9¢—
Who entered before the reversalTurma do Pagode last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 26:15 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L6 wallets
1ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$78
$518 at 66¢· G3 · 19:07· win rate 47.2%
2queueposition0xab8b…24ffretail+$20
$125 at 66¢· G3 · 18:13· win rate 49.0%
3a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$1
$517 at 61¢· G3 · 19:07· win rate 35.4%
$268 at 63¢· G3 · 19:14· win rate 17.5%
5Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail−$5
$171 at 70¢· G3 · 18:56· win rate 53.1%
6antec0x8935…7daaretail−$21
$576 at 63¢· G3 · 24:17· win rate 50.6%
Reversal = last time Turma do Pagode traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 26:15). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 102 wallets
Top winners
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$379
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$78
Dustar0x75c7…fcccretail+$64
sentrio0xdb83…1e50retail+$32
queueposition0xab8b…24ffretail+$20
Top losers
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$930
pranaoesquecerdemim0x4d12…b465retail−$318
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail−$274
CAcap0xd619…c461retail−$162
300PS0x8f41…260esmart−$137
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, TommyLeePeeca, testBruno2, oneheadedtiger +4
Smart consensus · at resolution57 wallets
95%YES Turma do Pagode · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$20.2K
NO capital
$9.8K
Hedged
$5.7K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 7 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
iwanek230x2b14…d678$500
YES58¢map 222:19:54retail
win rate 41.7%lifetime −$5.5K
Match markets15 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Turma do Pagode 2-1 ALKA · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer