CS2ESL Pro League · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Vitality

Vitality2-1Natus Vincere

ESL Pro League · Group Stage· Oct 4, 2026 · 16:30–19:02 UTC· 2h 32m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$2.9M
Trades
8,352
Significant
91 ≥ $5,146
Low · high
56¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Vitality · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · VitalityG1G2 · Natus VincereG2G3 · VitalityG356¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 18:56$51.8K YES · CORGI8$42.0K NO · Diabolical-Prize$20.0K YES · Stable-Armament$18.0K YES · lllllllIlllSMART62%70% Vitality16:3019:02 resolved
smart consensus leaned VIT from G1 at 73¢ · 62% → 70%
G1Vitality72¢ → 89¢$109.6K
G2Natus Vincere89¢ → 64¢$212.0K
G3Vitality64¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first14
WALL EATEN72¢ · $131.8K bid wall gone instantly$66.7K eaten · $62.1K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:ARI100KRAT+9 more on the same level· 32% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $66.7K· 10 fills
WALL EATEN72¢ · $116.9K bid wall gone in 47s$57.2K eaten · $53.4K pulled · $6.3K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:eschaworldchampion2026+10 more on the same level· 63% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· qiu3 $57.2K· +1 more· 15 fills
WALL EATEN73¢ · $64.8K bid wall gone instantly$43.8K eaten · $4.4K pulled · $16.6K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:eschaworldchampion2026+6 more on the same level· 46% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $43.8K· 8 fills
WALL EATEN73¢ · $51.8K bid wall gone instantly$43.6K eaten · $8.0K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:eschaworldchampion2026+11 more on the same level· 66% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $43.6K· 12 fills
WALL EATEN73¢ · $48.5K bid wall gone in 3s$28.6K eaten · $7.9K pulled · $12.0K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:eschaworldchampion2026+4 more on the same level· 55% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $28.6K· +1 more· 6 fills
WALL EATEN64¢ · $40.5K bid wall gone in 48s$12.8K eaten · $15.7K pulled · $12.0K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:madkkee+9 more on the same level· 38% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Flaky-Integer $3.4K· Nervous-Parallelogram $3.1K· minji $2.6K· +13 more· 27 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Vitality buy ≥ $1K · by time59 wallets
1feafar0xfd3e…feafretail+$628
$3.2K at 74¢· pre-match · 18h 47m before· win rate 48.8%
2wapol0xf7f0…912csmart+$430
$1.2K at 74¢· pre-match · 18h 21m before· win rate 66.2%
3VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart+$254
$5.6K at 74¢· pre-match · 18h 21m before· win rate 58.1%
4sippingcoffee0x01b6…7d7csmart+$24
$3.3K at 74¢· pre-match · 16h 28m before· win rate 91.8%
5Eminent-Pole0xfb07…e2ccretail+$1.2K
$3.3K at 74¢· pre-match · 11h 46m before· win rate 46.9%
6no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864retail+$2.2K
$6.2K at 74¢· pre-match · 11h 30m before· win rate 47.8%
7nalidethyo30x87b1…debaretail+$874
$2.5K at 74¢· pre-match · 11h 30m before· win rate 46.9%
8julialegal1230x6fcd…fbfcsmart+$1.1K
$3.1K at 74¢· pre-match · 11h 1m before· win rate 58.6%
9Big-Lay0x8b0e…bd73retail+$546
$1.6K at 74¢· pre-match · 11h 1m before· win rate 48.9%
10HELIOS-ONE0x7951…bb41smart+$15
$2.2K at 73¢· pre-match · 10h 51m before· win rate 60.9%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 368 wallets
Top winners
eschaworldchampion20260x7b6c…6305whale+$97.8K
0x5fdd…a747whale+$54.0K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770smartwhale+$28.0K
ARI100KRAT0x55d9…832cretail+$8.4K
fRibrenlc0x6f3e…bcf8whale+$5.0K
Top losers
TheVeteran770x6304…e570retail−$8.7K
Anjun0x4337…8882smart−$5.8K
Gooooooollllllllll0xda3a…381fretail−$4.9K
Zenhack0xff80…9b4dretail−$4.3K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$4.0K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): TommyLeePeeca, testBruno2, Diabolical-Prize, athadi +4
Smart consensus · at resolution268 wallets
70%YES Vitality · the winner· from 62% at match start
YES capital
$1.49M
NO capital
$501.3K
Hedged
$301.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 91 TRADES ≥ $5,146 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998$60.0K
YES46¢handicap16:09:14whale
win rate 40.0%lifetime +$770.4K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$51.8K
sell YES72¢series16:21:32whale
win rate 41.1%lifetime +$84.1K
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$42.0K
NO28¢series16:28:14whale
win rate 49.0%lifetime −$248.3K
qiu30x7f73…14f1$29.6K
sell YES72¢series16:05:08smartwhale
win rate 70.8%lifetime +$443.7K
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$28.6K
sell YES73¢series15:45:57whale
win rate 49.0%lifetime −$248.3K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$25.5K
YES72¢series16:04:06smartwhale
win rate 57.2%lifetime +$306.6K
Stable-Armament0xf559…f462$20.0K
YES65¢series18:20:07whale
win rate 55.6%lifetime −$623.9K
qiu30x7f73…14f1$18.3K
sell YES73¢series16:03:59smartwhale
win rate 70.8%lifetime +$443.7K
More from this tournamentESL Pro League 2026 Group Stage →
Match markets27 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage100¢ / 0¢$2.1Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$205.3Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$454.7Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$5.6Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$330.9Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$52closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$387closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5— / —$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$1.8Kclosedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.515¢ / 85¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$106closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$294closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.515¢ / 85¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$179closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$1.7Kclosedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Vitality (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$5closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs Vitality (+6.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-12.5) vs Vitality (+12.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$1.6Kclosedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Vitality (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed