CS2ESL Pro League · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Team Falcons

Team Falcons2-1Natus Vincere

ESL Pro League · Group Stage· Oct 6, 2026 · 19:05–22:41 UTC· 3h 36m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$7.3M
Trades
17,450
Significant
131 ≥ $4,090
Low · high
43¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Team Falcons · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢G1 · Team FalconsG1G2 · Natus VincereG2G3 · Team FalconsG343¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 20:35$349.1K NO · Diabolical-Prize$32.5K YES · NeverLoseBet$30.0K YES · Stable-Armament$23.8K YES · fkigedgjdgwbg$21.8K YES · Zlatan1233$16.9K YES · dsasdaasSMART83%80% Team Falcons19:0522:41 resolved
smart consensus leaned FAL from G1 at 56¢ · 83% → 80%
G1Team Falcons56¢ → 83¢$262.8K
G2Natus Vincere83¢ → 56¢$618.9K
G3Team Falcons56¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first26
WALL EATEN57¢ · $630.9K bid wall gone instantly$415.0K eaten · $215.4K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Substantial-Servicehedger+26 more on the same level· 69% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Diabolical-Prize $415.0K· 33 fills
WALL EATEN58¢ · $332.0K ask wall gone in 29s$198.9K eaten · $132.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Diabolical-Prizewhale+4 more on the same level· 97% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $198.2K· +5 more· 11 fills
WALL EATEN83¢ · $57.7K bid wall gone in 36s$24.0K eaten · $29.2K pulled · $4.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:monolog+12 more on the same level· 52% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fkigedgjdgwbg $23.8K· +3 more· 16 fills
WALL EATEN32¢ · $54.5K ask wall gone instantly$115.3K eatenhandicap
Maker revealed by fills:Diabolical-Prizewhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $115.3K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN58¢ · $53.5K ask wall gone in 80s$32.0K eaten · $6.6K pulled · $14.9K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:ArturitoFilitowhale+4 more on the same level· 88% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Stable-Armament $28.5K· printmon $1.7K· +13 more· 21 fills
WALL EATEN32¢ · $39.7K ask wall gone in 4s$71.1K eatenhandicap
Maker revealed by fills:Diabolical-Prizewhale+2 more on the same level· 96% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $70.9K· +1 more· 4 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Team Falcons buy ≥ $1K · by time59 wallets
10xbb29…947aretail+$10.7K
$16.8K at 60¢· pre-match · 21h 57m before· win rate 49.7%
2Lucky-Invader0xa9c4…7433retail+$1.7K
$15.7K at 58¢· pre-match · 15h 6m before· win rate 49.5%
3TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail+$8.0K
$12.0K at 60¢· pre-match · 14h 58m before· win rate 64.3%
4InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64whale−$209
$1.7K at 58¢· pre-match · 14h 3m before· win rate 51.7%
5darkumbreon880x0235…cee5retail+$914
$1.3K at 58¢· pre-match · 14h 3m before· win rate 63.8%
6dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale+$17.5K
$75.6K at 63¢· pre-match · 14h 3m before· win rate 63.0%
7mp5ll0xd0fb…8092retail+$215
$1.4K at 58¢· pre-match · 12h 35m before· win rate 49.2%
8antec0x8935…7daaretail+$359
$19.7K at 67¢· pre-match · 11h 27m before· win rate 50.4%
9oxbus0x6be0…9ac7retail+$20
$1.7K at 57¢· pre-match · 9h 6m before· win rate 45.0%
10maksimsoldout0x4572…5e86retail+$6.3K
$8.4K at 57¢· pre-match · 5h 49m before· win rate 46.5%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 452 wallets
Top winners
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563whale+$80.3K
ScroooogeMcDuck0xc350…3669smartwhale+$21.5K
dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale+$17.5K
0xbb29…947aretail+$10.7K
ARI100KRAT0x55d9…832cretail+$8.5K
Top losers
ArturitoFilito0x336b…1233retail−$28.1K
black-rabbit0xb6ce…7a7dretail−$7.9K
white-rabbit0x82dc…5700retail−$7.3K
Nooserac0xf68a…5b1bwhale−$6.3K
monkeyfish690xac75…1319retail−$6.3K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Diabolical-Prize, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, TommyLeePeeca, testBruno2 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution457 wallets
80%YES Team Falcons · the winner· from 83% at match start
YES capital
$2.94M
NO capital
$1.84M
Hedged
$599.7K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 131 TRADES ≥ $4,090 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$349.1K
NO43¢series19:04:42whale
win rate 49.2%lifetime +$383.1K
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$274.5K
YES58¢series18:45:15whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$613.1K
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$115.3K
sell NO68¢handicap18:03:37whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$613.1K
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb$109.5K
NO42¢series18:46:18whale
win rate 49.2%lifetime +$383.1K
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747$97.5K
YES58¢series16:41:03smartwhale
win rate 62.5%lifetime +$781.2K
Ancient-Strike0xc9ae…b9e0$72.5K
YES58¢series17:32:03whale
win rate 51.7%lifetime +$440.0K
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$68.0K
sell NO68¢handicap17:43:40whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$613.1K
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$53.9K
YES58¢series16:53:12hedgerwhale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$4.29M
More from this tournamentESL Pro League 2026 Group Stage →
Match markets32 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage100¢ / 0¢$5.4Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$504.2Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$1.2Mclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$12.7Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$513.7Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)16¢ / 84¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$347closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 1¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5— / —$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5— / —$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$8closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs Team Falcons (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-12.5) vs Natus Vincere (+12.5)1¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$81closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$4.4Kclosedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)— / —$0closed
Team Falcons 2-1 Natus Vincere · ESL Pro League · match recap | OrcaLayer