CS2Exort Fiesta · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · STATE

STATE2-1KAMUI

Exort Fiesta · Playoffs· Sep 22, 2026 · 14:00–16:35 UTC· 2h 35m· VOD on kick
Volume
$111.9K
Trades
2,993
Significant
19 ≥ $500
Low · high
13¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = STATE · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · KAMUIG1G2 · STATEG2G3 · STATEG313¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 16:31$1.8K NO · dodeper$1.1K NO · 0xb404…701d$1.0K NO · dfwee2$856 NO · 0x5360…4cfb$603 YES · pupupu12$602 NO · frjrnsdSMART100%77% STATE14:0016:35 resolved
smart consensus leaned STA from G3 at 51¢ · 100% → 77%
G1KAMUI30¢ → 13¢$795
G2STATE13¢ → 58¢$359
G3STATE58¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN99.9¢ · $19.0K bid wall gone in 33s$10.1K eaten · $6.9K pulled · $2.1K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:LewLewZZfarmer+5 more on the same level· 39% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0xcc94…d5e8 $4.9K· 0x4988…4c88 $4.7K· 0xcf42…6631 $499· +2 more· 10 fills
Who entered before the reversalSTATE last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 24:21 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L16 wallets
1alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$1.2K
$799 at 34¢· pre-match · 6m before· win rate 44.6%
2cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$732
$600 at 38¢· pre-match · 5m before· win rate 59.8%
3claudesports0xc2f2…0ff7retail+$471
$157 at 25¢· pre-match · 8m before· win rate 21.9%
4wightt0xdfe3…ec6fsmart+$264
$606 at 47¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 55.7%
5batu050x5690…7a58retail+$72
$112 at 20¢· pre-match · 8m before· win rate 52.7%
6a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$56
$733 at 54¢· pre-match · 3m before· win rate 34.6%
7Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$53
$133 at 43¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 51.6%
8Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$25
$201 at 45¢· G1 · 26:50· win rate 46.2%
9dddab110xced1…d7cdretail+$23
$155 at 51¢· G1 · 11:23· win rate 44.7%
10sdflll110xf1a2…516aretail+$15
$141 at 48¢· pre-match · 5m before· win rate 43.8%
Reversal = last time STATE traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 24:21). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 171 wallets
Top winners
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$1.2K
polkals0xa3d0…ce14retail+$845
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$732
claudesports0xc2f2…0ff7retail+$471
wightt0xdfe3…ec6fsmart+$264
Top losers
Neitrino0x6326…6329retail−$350
uuufff0x9491…547dretail−$142
yyyrl0xda77…683fbot−$132
fortuneking0x86c8…c867smart−$118
KaozrD0x8213…711csmart−$118
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Clear-Triangle, dfwee2, dexter122, masterkopeek +4
Smart consensus · at resolution78 wallets
77%YES STATE · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$38.7K
NO capital
$43.3K
Hedged
$13.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 19 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
dodeper0xa369…3ad6$1.8K
NO59¢series16:01:52hedger
win rate 46.6%lifetime +$2.9K
NO72¢series13:52:10retail
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
dfwee20xbef3…d303$1.0K
NO60¢series15:02:31smart
win rate 57.1%lifetime +$5.8K
NO78¢series13:58:07retail
win rate unknownlifetime unknown
pupupu120x8c8b…7a07$603
YES58¢series15:13:32smart
win rate 62.7%lifetime +$33.3K
frjrnsd0xcd48…395c$602
sell NO53¢series15:53:23hedgersmart
win rate 68.6%lifetime +$27.2K
More from this tournamentExort Fiesta 2026 →
Match markets14 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
STATE 2-1 KAMUI · Exort Fiesta · match recap | OrcaLayer