CS2Exort Fiesta · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · ILLYRIANS

ILLYRIANS2-1UNiTY esports

Exort Fiesta · Playoffs· Sep 22, 2026 · 08:1511:00 UTC· 2h 45m· VOD on kick
Volume
$119.8K
Trades
3,335
Significant
23 ≥ $500
Low · high
22¢ 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = ILLYRIANS · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · UNiTY esportsG1G2 · ILLYRIANSG2G3 · ILLYRIANSG322¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 10:36$1.4K YES · frankenstein75$728 NO · frjrnsd$612 NO · KAPWVSMART54%53% ILLYRIANS08:1511:00 resolved
smart consensus leaned ILL from G3 at 79¢ · 54% → 53%
G1UNiTY esports61¢ 25¢$215
G2ILLYRIANS25¢ 57¢$2.9K
G3ILLYRIANS57¢ 99.9¢
Who entered before the reversalILLYRIANS last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 48:43 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L17 wallets
1Cold-Palms0x689f…259cretail+$935
$465 at 33¢· G1 · 21:25· win rate 46.2%
2leader-shanghai0x6f9b…efabsmart+$660
$340 at 34¢· G1 · 27:44· win rate 58.5%
3viosh0x1b14…b8deretail+$381
$187 at 33¢· G1 · 18:17· win rate 45.5%
4a55330x758d…5d9eretail+$115
$1.4K at 54¢· pre-match · 3h 9m before· win rate 24.6%
5philanthropistt0xf9e1…d314smart+$69
$135 at 36¢· pre-match · 1h 59m before· win rate 56.3%
6Blind-Desk0x01c9…4386retail+$27
$147 at 48¢· G1 · 30:33· win rate 41.4%
7Honored-Elver0xe010…5147retail+$24
$166 at 50¢· pre-match · 9h 4m before· win rate 47.8%
8zxcursed1210x945a…a48cbot+$16
$734 at 54¢· pre-match · 2h 22m before· win rate 44.3%
9sdfasfddd0x4cd4…8a5cretail+$12
$112 at 57¢· pre-match · 2h 33m before· win rate 44.8%
10aab110xc8fd…5efaretail+$12
$145 at 50¢· pre-match · 2h 33m before· win rate 43.4%
Reversal = last time ILLYRIANS traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 48:43). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 177 wallets
Top winners
Cold-Palms0x689f…259cretail+$935
leader-shanghai0x6f9b…efabsmart+$660
viosh0x1b14…b8deretail+$381
okanekaeru0xce08…510bretail+$205
Specific-Pear-Whirlwind0x7091…96f8retail+$122
Top losers
humbleboy0x4b59…3aa6smart−$4.5K
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail−$1.3K
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$1.2K
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$970
xreborn0x5135…7217smart−$900
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): caspar1248, dfwee2, janikoti, dsknadkasnkfjs +4
Smart consensus · at resolution78 wallets
53%YES ILLYRIANS · the winner· from 54% at match start
YES capital
$50.6K
NO capital
$40.8K
Hedged
$20.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 23 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
frankenstein750x0f0b…f901$1.4K
YES91¢series10:57:23retail
win rate 54.8%lifetime +$28.5K
frjrnsd0xcd48…395c$728
NO70¢series08:41:37smart
win rate 68.6%lifetime +$27.2K
lma0o0o0o0x82d2…beea$666
NO48¢series07:45:11retail
win rate 53.6%lifetime +$82.4K
KAPWV0x9cf7…8c87$612
NO66¢series08:50:24retail
win rate 49.5%lifetime +$56.4K
caspar12480xa278…3369$602
YES60¢series07:50:28retail
win rate 30.6%lifetime $6.4K
frjrnsd0xcd48…395c$590
NO70¢series08:52:49smart
win rate 68.6%lifetime +$27.2K
caspar12480xa278…3369$581
YES58¢series07:50:44retail
win rate 30.6%lifetime $6.4K
Embellished-Sentence0x4e3c…d370$577
YES55¢map 209:04:15retail
win rate 71.7%lifetime $12.2K
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