CS2ROG Journey · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · NIP

Sinners1-2NIP

ROG Journey · Playoffs· Oct 3, 2026 · 09:00–11:57 UTC· 2h 57m· VOD on kick
Volume
$203.0K
Trades
1,769
Significant
16 ≥ $2,045
Low · high
0.1¢ → 90¢
Price path · full matchYES = Sinners · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · SinnersG1G2 · NIPG2G3 · NIPG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 11:53$6.2K NO · WiretransferxyzSMART60%58% NIP09:0011:57 resolved
smart consensus leaned NIP from 09:01 at 62¢ · 60% → 58%
G1Sinners44¢ → 67¢$11.2K
G2NIP67¢ → 42¢$8.7K
G3NIP42¢ → 0.1¢—
Who entered before the reversalNIP last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 57:52 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L9 wallets
1alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$1.3K
$137 at 10¢· G2 · 44:22· win rate 44.6%
2Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$269
$935 at 42¢· G2 · 15:59· win rate 59.6%
3Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$103
$277 at 46¢· G2 · 38:55· win rate 45.7%
4BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$69
$237 at 54¢· G2 · 44:28· win rate 56.3%
5iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$63
$624 at 77¢· G2 · 35:19· win rate 58.5%
6antec0x8935…7daaretail+$51
$361 at 46¢· G2 · 15:59· win rate 50.4%
7Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$1
$143 at 48¢· G2 · 12:52· win rate 52.6%
8froglover0x6891…6bb9retail−$13
$185 at 48¢· G2 · 15:59· win rate 10.6%
9a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$43
$772 at 55¢· G2 · 16:10· win rate 31.5%
Reversal = last time NIP traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 57:52). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 136 wallets
Top winners
galaktika1230x8ab9…d821retail+$1.5K
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$1.3K
sentrio0xdb83…1e50retail+$1.1K
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$433
backbox0xc0f1…8680retail+$312
Top losers
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart−$4.1K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770smartwhale−$3.2K
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail−$1.3K
BadNewsBears0x182d…73e9retail−$1.0K
nothingtoint0xe46d…7e4dretail−$693
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, BACKTESTEOCARAIO1, RN1, 21372137 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution77 wallets
58%NO NIP · the winner· from 60% at match start
YES capital
$61.6K
NO capital
$88.5K
Hedged
$74.3K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 16 TRADES ≥ $2,045 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6c$9.8K
NO63¢series08:14:54smart
win rate 56.7%lifetime +$1.56M
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6c$9.2K
NO63¢series08:29:49smart
win rate 56.7%lifetime +$1.56M
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3b$6.2K
sell NO62¢series08:57:57smart
win rate 55.1%lifetime +$673.9K
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3b$5.1K
YES37¢series08:29:49smart
win rate 55.1%lifetime +$673.9K
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3b$3.2K
YES37¢series08:14:54smart
win rate 55.1%lifetime +$673.9K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.9K
YES54¢map 109:18:40smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$211.6K
RN10x2005…75ea$1.6K
NO46¢map 109:18:40hedgerwhale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.04M
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$1.1K
NO91¢map 210:57:22hedgersmart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets14 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Sinners 1-2 NIP · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer