CS2ROG Journey · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Eternal Fire

Sangal0-2Eternal Fire

ROG Journey · Playoffs· Oct 3, 2026 · 09:00–10:47 UTC· 1h 47m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$54.8K
Trades
871
Significant
11 ≥ $859
Low · high
0.1¢ → 39¢
Price path · full matchYES = Sangal · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢G1 · Eternal FireG1G2 · Eternal FireG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:38$5.0K NO · lllllllIlll$3.2K YES · IdentityVSMART91%91% Eternal Fire09:0010:47 resolved
smart consensus leaned EF from 09:01 at 63¢ · 91% → 91%
G1Eternal Fire39¢ → 22¢$1.3K
G2Eternal Fire22¢ → 7¢$11.4K
Biggest buyers of the winnerEternal Fire never traded below 60¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner6 wallets
1BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$32
$446 at 77¢· pre-match· win rate 68.3%
2xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$183
$263 at 59¢· pre-match · 6h 40m before· win rate 56.4%
3a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$2
$240 at 75¢· pre-match · 10h 34m before· win rate 31.5%
4BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$39
$198 at 76¢· G2 · 42:18· win rate 56.3%
5phenompoker0xfbf3…70e3retail−$121
$171 at 57¢· pre-match · 10h 34m before· win rate 60.3%
6Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail−$0
$120 at 83¢· G2 · 17:39· win rate 52.6%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($2.1K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 95 wallets
Top winners
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$183
BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart+$32
Rough-Knight0xe53b…fe03smart+$32
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$23
Long-Term-Tonality0x5c6d…ab76retail+$19
Top losers
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$936
legalm0ney0xd385…34fbretail−$805
Eminent-Pole0xfb07…e2ccretail−$603
VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart−$569
GOLDCRYPT120xf20b…e27dretail−$230
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): lllllllIlll, shineshineshine, austr, Wiretransferxyz +4
Smart consensus · at resolution46 wallets
91%NO Eternal Fire · the winner· from 91% at match start
YES capital
$10.8K
NO capital
$18.3K
Hedged
$15.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 11 TRADES ≥ $859 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$5.0K
NO61¢series08:53:55smartwhale
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$181.4K
IdentityV0xc5d8…a00b$3.2K
YES39¢series08:53:55retail
win rate 48.2%lifetime +$74.4K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$3.2K
NO61¢series08:18:02smartwhale
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$181.4K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.5K
NO57¢map 210:32:37smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$211.6K
RN10x2005…75ea$1.1K
YES43¢map 210:32:37hedgerwhale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.04M
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$894
NO53¢map 210:33:32smart
win rate 57.3%lifetime +$211.6K
RN10x2005…75ea$818
YES47¢map 210:33:32hedgerwhale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.04M
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets21 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Sangal vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$31.5Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$3.2Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$21.0Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$515closedseries handicapMap Handicap: SNG (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$990closedseries handicapMap Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Sangal (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$537closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.59¢ / 91¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Sangal (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Sangal (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-9.5) vs Sangal (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-12.5) vs Sangal (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Sangal (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sangal (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Sangal (+6.5)— / —$0closed