CS2ROG Journey · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · NIP

NIP2-0BBL

ROG Journey · Playoffs· Oct 3, 2026 · 12:30–14:17 UTC· 1h 47m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$52.9K
Trades
525
Significant
22 ≥ $1,459
Low · high
66¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = NIP · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · NIPG1G2 · NIPG266¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 13:58$1.5K NO · Wiretransferxyz$1.5K YES · aaaa298$1.4K YES · DumplingBMF$986 YES · iii252$732 YES · Betss$708 YES · hasobidaleSMART72%85% NIP12:3014:17 resolved
smart consensus leaned NIP from 12:31 at 67¢ · 72% → 85%
G1NIP69¢ → 85¢$2.2K
G2NIP85¢ → 99.9¢$10.5K
Biggest buyers of the winnerNIP never traded below 61¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner6 wallets
1iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$1.4K
$3.8K at 71¢· pre-match · 5m before· win rate 58.5%
2DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1smart+$877
$1.9K at 68¢· pre-match · 5m before· win rate 69.3%
3Rayaya0x9b96…4389retail+$377
$732 at 66¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 60.7%
4kingsirpredictionconnoisseur0x2d40…ec52smart+$140
$360 at 72¢· pre-match · 5m before· win rate 55.1%
5BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart−$3
$279 at 85¢· G1 · 00:25· win rate 68.3%
6a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$7
$138 at 69¢· G1 · 00:25· win rate 31.5%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 63 wallets
Top winners
iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$1.4K
DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1smart+$877
Rayaya0x9b96…4389retail+$377
kingsirpredictionconnoisseur0x2d40…ec52smart+$140
edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail+$33
Top losers
Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail−$972
Glamorous-Vitality0x9438…e019retail−$300
HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail−$39
InAirdropWeTrust0xd3e7…bf64retail−$32
ShopanKane0x8359…5944retail−$17
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): ZoeGarma, aaaa298, Betss, degenofweb3 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution69 wallets
85%YES NIP · the winner· from 72% at match start
YES capital
$17.7K
NO capital
$6.8K
Hedged
$13.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 22 TRADES ≥ $1,459 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
iii2520xed44…4f76$2.4K
YES91¢map 213:58:39hedgersmart
win rate 58.5%lifetime +$209.3K
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3b$1.5K
NO30¢series12:25:11smart
win rate 55.1%lifetime +$673.9K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$1.5K
YES68¢series12:41:56smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1$1.4K
YES69¢series12:25:11smart
win rate 69.3%lifetime +$219.1K
iii2520xed44…4f76$986
YES68¢series12:25:11smart
win rate 58.5%lifetime +$209.3K
iii2520xed44…4f76$803
YES66¢series12:29:18smart
win rate 58.5%lifetime +$209.3K
Betss0x5674…8b14$732
sell YES66¢series12:32:21retail
win rate 46.7%lifetime −$17.3K
hasobidale0x8be4…a700$708
YES73¢series12:25:11smart
win rate 69.7%lifetime +$17.5K
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets20 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: NIP vs BBL (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$44.9Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: NIP vs BBL - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$3.0Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: NIP vs BBL - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$18.9Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$30closedseries handicapMap Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs BBL (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$66closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5— / —$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.59¢ / 91¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs BBL (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs BBL (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs BBL (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-12.5) vs BBL (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs BBL (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs BBL (+6.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs BBL (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs BBL (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
NIP 2-0 BBL · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer