CS2ESL Challenger League · Group A · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Dark Moon

Saint Sinners1-2Dark Moon

ESL Challenger League · Group A· Oct 22, 2026 · 13:10–15:24 UTC· 2h 14m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$38.8K
Trades
2,069
Significant
4 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 78¢
Price path · full matchYES = Saint Sinners · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Saint SinnersG1G2 · Dark MoonG2G3 · —G30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 15:19SMART76%66% Dark Moon13:1015:24 resolved
smart consensus leaned DM from 13:03 at 55¢ · 76% → 66%
G1Saint Sinners50¢ → 76¢$1.2K
G2Dark Moon76¢ → 37¢$1.8K
G3—37¢ → 0.1¢—
Who entered before the reversalDark Moon last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 19:03 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L10 wallets
1topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$382
$710 at 51¢· G1 · 08:25· win rate 40.6%
2poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$41
$196 at 63¢· G1 · 19:11· win rate 47.3%
$373 at 57¢· pre-match · 22m before· win rate 19.9%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$17
$546 at 56¢· G1 · 08:25· win rate 37.4%
57figtc0x6a90…c2e3retail−$1
$124 at 75¢· G1 · 09:26· win rate 51.6%
63191133313131110x2b55…b98dretail−$5
$136 at 51¢· G1 · 02:25· win rate 49.5%
7retot0x9473…cba4retail−$9
$131 at 58¢· G1 · 09:26· win rate 51.9%
8RITALINEWITHSNUS0x9d91…6816retail−$33
$482 at 60¢· G1 · 07:59· win rate 48.9%
9Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmartwhale−$52
$395 at 60¢· G1 · 07:59· win rate 62.5%
10queueposition0xab8b…24ffretail−$134
$156 at 56¢· G1 · 09:26· win rate 49.2%
Reversal = last time Dark Moon traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 19:03). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 102 wallets
Top winners
uuufff0x9491…547dretail+$546
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$382
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$113
ludo-money0x915d…5c6aretail+$72
387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$65
Top losers
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$437
Simavoz0x4e15…a344retail−$343
UnSmartMan0xf743…1811retail−$212
queueposition0xab8b…24ffretail−$134
riccardobengal0xd2e7…08e9retail−$53
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): dns94385, testBruno2, neutralwave23, AuriaJu +4
Smart consensus · at resolution18 wallets
66%NO Dark Moon · the winner· from 76% at match start
YES capital
$11.5K
NO capital
$12.9K
Hedged
$1.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 4 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
All 4 significant trades came after the market was already priced as decided (outside 5–95¢) — listed under Settlement below.
Match markets17 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Saint Sinners 1-2 Dark Moon · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer