CS2ESL Challenger League · Group C · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · maybe

maybe2-1Spirit Academy Green

ESL Challenger League · Group C· Oct 22, 2026 · 13:00–15:26 UTC· 2h 26m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$65.0K
Trades
1,751
Significant
17 ≥ $500
Low · high
32¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = maybe · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · Spirit Academy …G1G2 · maybeG2G3 · maybeG332¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 15:21$819 YES · Doomsday77$777 YES · pnhkyb$509 YES · DumplingBMFSMART100%96% maybe13:0015:26 resolved
smart consensus leaned MAYBE from 13:03 at 45¢ · 100% → 96%
G1Spirit Academy Green47¢ → 35¢$2.4K
G2maybe35¢ → 64¢$5.2K
G3maybe64¢ → 99.9¢—
Who entered before the reversalmaybe last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 15:48 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L10 wallets
1queueposition0xab8b…24ffretail+$62
$230 at 75¢· G2 · 02:06· win rate 49.2%
2topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$53
$448 at 62¢· G1 · 29:13· win rate 40.6%
3polkals0xa3d0…ce14retail+$17
$112 at 56¢· G1 · 17:05· win rate 50.3%
4RITALINEWITHSNUS0x9d91…6816retail+$8
$362 at 71¢· G1 · 33:22· win rate 48.9%
5amznputs0xce42…9090retail+$7
$202 at 71¢· G1 · 17:05· win rate 43.7%
6Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$5
$312 at 67¢· G1 · 20:07· win rate 53.9%
7a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$0
$729 at 68¢· G1 · 34:53· win rate 37.4%
8poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$8
$119 at 71¢· G1 · 17:05· win rate 47.3%
90x6891…6bb9bot−$15
$544 at 63¢· G1 · 20:07· win rate 19.9%
10Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmartwhale−$24
$334 at 69¢· G1 · 17:05· win rate 62.5%
Reversal = last time maybe traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 15:48). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 102 wallets
Top winners
queueposition0xab8b…24ffretail+$62
andersonadn100x947d…dff0retail+$53
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$53
Uniform-Sunflower0x906a…714eretail+$50
Unusual-Metallurgist0xc925…6d24retail+$34
Top losers
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart−$643
SlipperyEel12340x3a9c…6e47retail−$200
387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail−$147
RandomGameBet0x904e…0becsmart−$93
UnSmartMan0xf743…1811retail−$84
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): patitec, Nnnn17, testBruno2, puntobigboss +4
Smart consensus · at resolution20 wallets
96%YES maybe · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$25.9K
NO capital
$14.3K
Hedged
$7.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 17 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
lma0o0o0o0x82d2…beea$848
YES86¢map 214:24:22retail
win rate 53.4%lifetime +$86.4K
Doomsday770xb4c0…92d8$819
sell YES93¢series15:18:57retail
win rate 63.3%lifetime −$24.6K
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8e$777
YES90¢series15:12:29hedgersmart
win rate 57.9%lifetime +$69.1K
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8e$775
YES91¢series15:04:24hedgersmart
win rate 57.9%lifetime +$69.1K
diceking0x3db4…d69b$744
YES55¢map 214:19:25smart
win rate 59.4%lifetime +$120.2K
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8e$723
YES89¢series15:11:12hedgersmart
win rate 57.9%lifetime +$69.1K
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8e$630
YES90¢series15:10:49hedgersmart
win rate 57.9%lifetime +$69.1K
sapupu0xa0a6…298f$550
YES60¢map 214:20:15retail
win rate 30.8%lifetime −$2.3K
Match markets14 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
maybe 2-1 Spirit Academy Green · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer