CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Rare Atom

Rare Atom2-1Vitalem Aerem

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 25, 2026 · 13:00–15:27 UTC· 2h 27m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$19.1K
Trades
774
Significant
4 ≥ $500
Low · high
65¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Rare Atom · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · Rare AtomG1G2 · Vitalem AeremG2G3 · Rare AtomG365¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 13:38SMART44%80% Rare Atom13:0015:27 resolved
smart consensus leaned RA from 13:06 at 84¢ · 44% → 80%
G1Rare Atom82¢ → 95¢$2.7K
G2Vitalem Aerem95¢ → 72¢$1.9K
G3Rare Atom72¢ → 99.9¢—
Biggest buyers of the winnerRare Atom never traded below 59¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner8 wallets
1a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$0
$628 at 83¢· pre-match · 33m before· win rate 25.7%
2Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$28
$493 at 81¢· pre-match · 1m before· win rate 61.3%
3El-Toque-De-Midas0x10d7…bbf6smart−$45
$277 at 81¢· G2 · 47:44· win rate 59.2%
4cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$17
$262 at 87¢· G2 · 49:35· win rate 60.7%
5poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$35
$250 at 87¢· pre-match · 8m before· win rate 47.6%
6Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$2
$119 at 85¢· pre-match · 1m before· win rate 52.2%
7Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot−$9
$105 at 88¢· G1 · 02:11· win rate 53.1%
8topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$33
$102 at 73¢· pre-match · 9h 15m before· win rate 41.2%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($221 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 77 wallets
Top winners
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$39
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$35
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$33
Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$28
Jxtoas0xa9f5…937fretail+$24
Top losers
El-Toque-De-Midas0x10d7…bbf6smart−$45
feafar0xfd3e…feafretail−$38
user00000000x9ffa…864cretail−$38
ValiBB0x9cb4…8285smart−$24
Musty-Acquisition0xb8b9…7a6bretail−$10
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): TommyLeePeeca, testBruno2, Divinev, 0x81d1…4806 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution34 wallets
80%YES Rare Atom · the winner· from 44% at match start
YES capital
$8.4K
NO capital
$2.4K
Hedged
$821
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 4 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
HRAImail-.-0x71a4…809d$694
YES88¢map 114:36:15smart
win rate 96.8%lifetime +$10.8K
Match markets4 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Rare Atom 2-1 Vitalem Aerem · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer