CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Kaleido Gaming

Just Swing0-2Kaleido Gaming

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 25, 2026 · 13:15–14:35 UTC· 1h 20m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$26.5K
Trades
660
Significant
8 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 55¢
Price path · full matchYES = Just Swing · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢G1 · Kaleido GamingG1G2 · Kaleido GamingG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 14:21SMART100%100% Kaleido Gaming13:1514:35 resolved
smart consensus leaned KG from 13:11 at 44¢ · 100% → 100%
G1Kaleido Gaming38¢ → 19¢$293
G2Kaleido Gaming19¢ → 0.1¢$7.5K
Biggest buyers of the winnerKaleido Gaming never traded below 25¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner1 wallets
1a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$35
$446 at 75¢· pre-match· win rate 25.7%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($647 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 38 wallets
Top winners
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$26
ngrasfnbrla0xcb47…4737retail+$11
biogjtnf0x395a…eb72retail+$8
froglover0x6891…6bb9retail+$6
sdfsdaf11s30x1aa4…7971retail+$5
Top losers
topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail−$73
a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$35
RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53retail−$23
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$16
Tempting-Gemsbok0x6202…c297retail−$14
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, MasterLilMargins, Vigilant-Environment, 15perces +4
Smart consensus · at resolution10 wallets
100%NO Kaleido Gaming · the winner
YES capital
$1.2K
NO capital
$2.5K
Hedged
$565
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 8 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
suntori0xe907…cff6$1.0K
NO51¢map 214:21:21whale
win rate 41.2%lifetime −$7.22M
MasterLilMargins0xe1f3…5402$988
YES49¢map 214:21:21smart
win rate 60.4%lifetime +$117.6K
suntori0xe907…cff6$952
NO51¢map 214:20:48whale
win rate 41.2%lifetime −$7.22M
suntori0xe907…cff6$951
NO50¢map 213:30:17whale
win rate 41.2%lifetime −$7.22M
MasterLilMargins0xe1f3…5402$903
YES50¢map 213:30:17smart
win rate 60.4%lifetime +$117.6K
MasterLilMargins0xe1f3…5402$853
YES49¢map 214:20:48smart
win rate 60.4%lifetime +$117.6K
Match markets4 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Just Swing 0-2 Kaleido Gaming · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer