CS2ROG Journey · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · NIP

NIP2-0Eternal Fire

ROG Journey · Playoffs· Oct 3, 2026 · 18:00–19:48 UTC· 1h 48m· VOD on kick
Volume
$157.1K
Trades
1,363
Significant
44 ≥ $1,328
Low · high
58¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = NIP · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · NIPG1G2 · NIPG258¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 19:49$17.7K YES · lllllllIlll$1.3K YES · iii252SMART24%29% NIP18:0019:48 resolved
smart consensus 24% → 29% YES
G1NIP60¢ → 83¢$13.8K
G2NIP83¢ → 95¢$26.5K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN59¢ · $20.6K bid wall gone instantly$17.7K eaten · $2.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:WARNINGWARNINGWARNINGwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· lllllllIlll $17.7K· 1 fill
Earliest big buyersfirst NIP buy ≥ $1K · by time8 wallets
1Rayaya0x9b96…4389retail+$680
$1.3K at 66¢· pre-match · 1h 20m before· win rate 61.0%
2DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1smart+$745
$1.5K at 67¢· pre-match · 1h 5m before· win rate 69.2%
3Quick-Slippers0xa413…6c4asmart+$1.4K
$2.5K at 64¢· pre-match · 1h 4m before· win rate 55.8%
4clown2210x9c3e…2235retail+$668
$1.0K at 61¢· pre-match · 44m before· win rate 53.6%
5iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$1.2K
$1.9K at 61¢· pre-match · 9m before· win rate 58.8%
6WARNINGWARNINGWARNING0x5e6e…be00whale+$12.3K
$17.7K at 59¢· pre-match · 5m before· win rate 48.5%
7depresssin0xcc77…c035smartwhale+$2
$1.8K at 99.9¢· G2 · 69:28· win rate 81.9%
8ezMerge0x4638…6b0awhalefarmer+$1
$1.3K at 99.9¢· G2 · 88:11· win rate 98.1%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 91 wallets
Top winners
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING0x5e6e…be00whale+$12.3K
Quick-Slippers0xa413…6c4asmart+$1.4K
iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$1.2K
DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1smart+$745
Rayaya0x9b96…4389retail+$680
Top losers
Frugal-Quarter-Voyage0x9d39…5408retail−$152
dovetail0x1025…7e11retail−$137
DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail−$23
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail−$19
0xc50b…c6a9retail−$14
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): lllllllIlll, aaaa298, ameisgoat11, ZEST011 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution43 wallets
29%YES NIP · the winner· from 24% at match start
YES capital
$52.5K
NO capital
$30.4K
Hedged
$38.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 44 TRADES ≥ $1,328 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$17.7K
sell YES59¢series17:54:44smartwhale
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$181.4K
igorkarpowicz0xe888…0364$4.0K
YES62¢series17:22:31retail
win rate 30.3%lifetime −$14.9K
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$3.0K
YES62¢series17:30:15whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$4.15M
Quick-Slippers0xa413…6c4a$2.5K
YES64¢series17:08:57smart
win rate 56.3%lifetime +$72.8K
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d$2.5K
YES70¢map 219:44:15smart
win rate 63.8%lifetime +$826.5K
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$2.5K
NO38¢series17:22:31smartwhale
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$181.4K
RN10x2005…75ea$2.1K
YES54¢map 219:30:07hedgerwhale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.04M
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$1.8K
NO38¢series17:30:15smartwhale
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$181.4K
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets16 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
NIP 2-0 Eternal Fire · ROG Journey · match recap | OrcaLayer