CS2ESL Pro League · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

G20-2Natus Vincere

ESL Pro League · Group Stage· Oct 3, 2026 · 16:30–18:17 UTC· 1h 47m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.9M
Trades
6,696
Significant
72 ≥ $4,085
Low · high
0.1¢ → 67¢
Price path · full matchYES = G2 · 1-min VWAP · rings = 5 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · Natus VincereG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 18:11$48.6K YES · Prickly-Effort$41.5K YES · omnibus-076daa$18.9K YES · fantasy7788$18.4K NO · RevengeRange$9.7K NO · muneyenjayerrrSMART32%34% Natus Vincere16:3018:17 resolved
smart consensus 68% → 66% YES
G1Natus Vincere55¢ → 33¢$240.8K
G2Natus Vincere33¢ → 0.1¢$223.8K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first9
WALL EATEN54¢ · $61.4K ask wall gone in 43s$41.2K eaten · $7.6K pulled · $12.7K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:RevengeRangesmart+22 more on the same level· 45% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Prickly-Effort $41.1K· +2 more· 50 fills
WALL EATEN65¢ · $58.8K bid wall gone in 16s$42.8K eaten · $9.8K pulled · $6.2K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Prickly-Effortsmart· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· THEHIGHLIFE $21.7K· Nervous-Parallelogram $6.5K· minji $3.3K· +44 more· 64 fills
WALL EATEN53¢ · $50.0K ask wall gone instantly$32.6K eaten · $8.8K pulled · $8.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:WARNINGWARNINGWARNINGwhale+12 more on the same level· 43% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· omnibus-076daa $32.6K· 33 fills
WALL EATEN52¢ · $30.8K ask wall gone in 5s$11.2K eaten · $19.6K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale+7 more on the same level· 87% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Prickly-Effort $11.1K· +1 more· 10 fills
WALL EATEN19¢ · $18.9K bid wall gone in 9s$18.9K eatenmap 1
Maker revealed by fills:Prickly-Effortsmart· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· cruzNBA $10.1K· Nervous-Parallelogram $2.5K· xytest $2.3K· +25 more· 47 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $13.5K ask wall gone in 12s$10.8K eaten · $2.8K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale+3 more on the same level· 47% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $10.8K· +1 more· 5 fills
Who entered before the reversalNatus Vincere last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 17:14 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L13 wallets
1ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$8.4K
$7.8K at 48¢· G1 · 03:32· win rate 47.2%
2alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$1.6K
$845 at 34¢· G1 · 14:17· win rate 44.6%
3Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmartwhale+$1.2K
$11.5K at 59¢· G1 · 05:23· win rate 62.7%
4team-silence0xe793…7c81retail+$337
$931 at 65¢· G1 · 03:11· win rate 51.0%
5antec0x8935…7daaretail+$246
$292 at 43¢· G1 · 04:31· win rate 50.6%
6rugmoney0xa24e…1be8retail+$129
$293 at 55¢· G1 · 06:58· win rate 49.8%
7387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail+$125
$346 at 45¢· G1 · 06:58· win rate 51.1%
8topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$97
$127 at 51¢· G1 · 02:28· win rate 41.3%
9Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$61
$2.1K at 60¢· G1 · 06:58· win rate 59.4%
10a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$26
$636 at 61¢· G1 · 05:44· win rate 35.4%
Reversal = last time Natus Vincere traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 17:14). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 240 wallets
Top winners
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$21.6K
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3bretail+$19.9K
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING0x5e6e…be00whale+$15.9K
fRibrenlc0x6f3e…bcf8retail+$13.4K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$8.4K
Top losers
aaaalesshaaa0x9166…5bd5retail−$5.3K
forget40x67b6…00bcretail−$2.6K
zotin0xbabc…f7a4retail−$1.6K
0xfa80…a7beretail−$1.6K
ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart−$1.6K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): lllllllIlll, Prickly-Effort, Lakersfan111, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing +4
Smart consensus · at resolution174 wallets
34%NO Natus Vincere · the winner· from 32% at match start
YES capital
$420.7K
NO capital
$422.5K
Hedged
$270.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 72 TRADES ≥ $4,085 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Prickly-Effort0xc74e…e725$48.6K
YES54¢series16:26:52smartwhale
win rate 56.4%lifetime +$185.7K
cruzNBA0x880b…c98b$43.1K
NO81¢map 117:12:04hedger
win rate 44.5%lifetime +$204.9K
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$41.5K
YES53¢series16:21:47hedgerwhale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$4.15M
Prickly-Effort0xc74e…e725$21.7K
YES65¢map 217:40:04smartwhale
win rate 56.4%lifetime +$185.7K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$18.9K
YES54¢series16:27:16whale
win rate 35.5%lifetime −$143.2K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61$18.4K
NO46¢series16:26:52smart
win rate 59.7%lifetime +$296.6K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$15.3K
YES53¢series16:07:16whale
win rate 41.2%lifetime +$212.4K
Prickly-Effort0xc74e…e725$14.7K
sell NO67¢series17:34:04smartwhale
win rate 56.4%lifetime +$185.7K
More from this tournamentESL Pro League 2026 →
Match markets22 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage0¢ / 100¢$974.1Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$569.0Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$437.6Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$2.9Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$16.5Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$21.7Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$597closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$313closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-9.5) vs G2 (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-9.5) vs G2 (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$57closed
G2 0-2 Natus Vincere · ESL Pro League · match recap | OrcaLayer