CS2ESL Pro League · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Spirit

Spirit2-1ShindeN

ESL Pro League · Group Stage· Oct 3, 2026 · 12:00–15:05 UTC· 3h 05m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.9M
Trades
12,690
Significant
141 ≥ $2,057
Low · high
51¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Spirit · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · ShindeNG1G2 · SpiritG2G3 · SpiritG351¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 11:50$9.0K YES · hurrican$8.1K YES · redvinny$7.9K YES · Prickly-Effort$5.0K YES · Partyarty91$4.3K YES · Sodoo$3.1K NO · omnibus-076daaSMART95%96% Spirit12:0015:05 resolved
smart consensus leaned TS from 12:00 at 95¢ · 95% → 96%
G1ShindeN96¢ → 78¢$265.5K
G2Spirit78¢ → 88¢$236.3K
G3Spirit88¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first7
WALL EATEN72¢ · $45.0K bid wall gone in 27s$22.6K eaten · $9.0K pulled · $13.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Prickly-Effortsmart+3 more on the same level· 96% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· yishiwucheng $7.2K· xytest $5.8K· Nervous-Parallelogram $2.5K· +13 more· 29 fills
WALL EATEN76¢ · $35.1K bid wall gone in 12s$19.3K eaten · $6.0K pulled · $9.9K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Prickly-Effortsmart+2 more on the same level· 98% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Nervous-Parallelogram $4.1K· minji $3.8K· xytest $3.0K· +25 more· 34 fills
WALL EATEN59¢ · $24.2K bid wall gone in 12s$12.6K eaten · $6.0K pulled · $5.7K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:Prickly-Effortsmart· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· minji $3.0K· Nervous-Parallelogram $3.0K· xytest $2.4K· +14 more· 20 fills
WALL EATEN89¢ · $16.9K bid wall gone in 96s$5.6K eaten · $10.4K pulled · $905 still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:yishiwuchengwhale+3 more on the same level· 75% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· JohnLKellyJr $4.5K· bogemika $479· sdfsdgdfg $360· +3 more· 10 fills
WALL EATEN81¢ · $11.7K bid wall gone in 86s$5.1K eaten · $6.3K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:yishiwuchengwhale+7 more on the same level· 86% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· TommyLeePeeca $633· joshjosh $581· northpole $574· +7 more· 15 fills
WALL EATEN64¢ · $11.4K bid wall gone in 60s$5.9K eaten · $3.0K pulled · $2.5K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Sodoo· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· duratio10 $1.3K· Flaky-Integer $1.1K· xytest $832· +42 more· 63 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Spirit buy ≥ $1K · by time26 wallets
1a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$11
$5.6K at 79¢· pre-match · 2d 20h before· win rate 33.1%
2tyoprkg0x1f4b…5345retail+$138
$3.3K at 96¢· pre-match · 46m before· win rate 65.0%
3Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail−$6
$1.9K at 84¢· pre-match · 13m before· win rate 52.6%
4Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$144
$5.4K at 79¢· pre-match · 8m before· win rate 59.6%
5edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail−$98
$1.5K at 79¢· pre-match· win rate 44.6%
6pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart−$279
$38.4K at 79¢· G1 · 01:48· win rate 57.5%
7antec0x8935…7daaretail−$9
$1.5K at 73¢· G1 · 06:59· win rate 50.5%
8calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$4.3K
$12.6K at 70¢· G1 · 16:26· win rate 54.2%
9HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail+$97
$1.7K at 74¢· G1 · 31:33· win rate 49.3%
10ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$10.7K
$9.3K at 81¢· G1 · 35:21· win rate 47.5%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 264 wallets
Top winners
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$4.3K
chasing500k0xa80c…5a6dsmart+$2.0K
Profitable-Plenty0xa76e…f812retail+$1.6K
Santaluchia0xd039…ba3bretail+$1.1K
joepesciwave0xda0e…7086retail+$920
Top losers
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$10.7K
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail−$2.0K
Mild-Barn0x0c95…10f5retail−$1.0K
Leja0x8144…266cretail−$439
Caishenbaoyouwo8880x751b…73fdsmart−$373
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, Prickly-Effort, yishiwucheng, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing +4
Smart consensus · at resolution169 wallets
96%YES Spirit · the winner· from 95% at match start
YES capital
$503.0K
NO capital
$146.2K
Hedged
$156.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 141 TRADES ≥ $2,057 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Sodoo0x0d7c…b7db$10.1K
YES86¢map 213:11:43retail
win rate 51.3%lifetime −$38.9K
hurrican0x8718…5040$9.0K
YES84¢series13:25:01retail
win rate 70.5%lifetime −$263.4K
redvinny0x56c9…0d9e$8.1K
YES77¢series13:08:36retail
win rate 76.0%lifetime −$1.04M
467j6yj0xd487…053e$7.9K
NO91¢map 113:03:54farmer
win rate 97.2%lifetime +$123.2K
Prickly-Effort0xc74e…e725$7.9K
YES79¢series13:18:51smartwhale
win rate 56.4%lifetime +$185.7K
sulumos0x9db8…2eff$6.2K
NO40¢map 112:39:36whale
win rate 49.2%lifetime +$430.3K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09$6.0K
YES83¢handicap11:16:47smart
win rate 55.0%lifetime +$349.1K
cruzNBA0x880b…c98b$5.7K
sell YES84¢map 213:05:18retail
win rate 44.5%lifetime +$204.9K
More from this tournamentESL Pro League 2026 Group Stage →
Match markets29 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage100¢ / 0¢$881.2Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$522.2Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$485.7Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$7.1Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$57.3Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$60closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$40closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$315closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$757closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$259closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$263closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$1.1Kclosedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs ShindeN (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ShindeN (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs ShindeN (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$585closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ShindeN (-6.5) vs Spirit (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs ShindeN (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs ShindeN (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ShindeN (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs ShindeN (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$3.0Kclosedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-12.5) vs ShindeN (+12.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs ShindeN (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$2.2Kclosedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs ShindeN (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-12.5) vs ShindeN (+12.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closed
Spirit 2-1 ShindeN · ESL Pro League · match recap | OrcaLayer